Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report
MMWR / August 16, 2019 / Vol. 68 / No. 32 699
US Department of Health and Human Services/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
of vaccine efficacy; immunogenicity data were also considered.
Harms were any vaccine-related serious adverse events. Of
1,388 references identified, 100 were selected for detailed
review, and 16 publications were included in GRADE tables
presented at the October 2018 ACIP meeting; tables were
updated in June 2019 to include new results from a 9vHPV
trial. At the June 2019 ACIP meeting, two policy issues were
considered: 1) harmonization of catch-up vaccination for all
persons through age 26 years, and 2) vaccination of adults aged
>26 years. Two Evidence to Recommendations documents
were developed (https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/acip/recs/
grade/HPV-harmonization-etr.html) (https://www.cdc.gov/
vaccines/acip/recs/grade/HPV-adults-etr.html) and presented
along with proposed recommendations; after a public com-
ment period, ACIP members voted unanimously to harmonize
catch-up vaccination recommendations across genders for
all persons through age 26 years. ACIP members also voted
10–4 in favor of shared clinical decision-making for adults
aged 27 through 45 years, recognizing that some persons who
are not adequately vaccinated might be at risk for new HPV
infection and might benefit from vaccination in this age range.
Summary of Key Findings
Vaccine efficacy and safety. Data were considered from
11 clinical trials of 9vHPV, 4vHPV, and/or 2vHPV in adults
aged 27 through 45 years, along with supplemental bridging
immunogenicity data. In per-protocol analyses from three
trials, 4vHPV and 2vHPV demonstrated significant efficacy
against a combined endpoint of persistent vaccine-type HPV
infections, anogenital warts, and cervical intraepithelial neo-
plasia (CIN) grade 1 (low-grade lesions) or worse. In nine
trials, seroconversion rates to vaccine-type HPV after 3 doses
of any HPV vaccine were 93.6%–100% at 7 months after
the first dose. Overall evidence on benefits was GRADE
evidence level 2, for moderate-quality evidence. In nine tri-
als, few serious adverse events and no vaccine-related deaths
were reported. Overall evidence on harms was also GRADE
evidence level 2, for moderate-quality evidence. In the efficacy
trial that was the basis for 9vHPV licensure for adults through
age 45 years, per-protocol efficacy of 4vHPV among women
aged 24 through 45 years was 88.7% (95% confidence interval
[CI] = 78.1–94.8), and intention-to-treat efficacy was 47.2%
(95% CI = 33.5–58.2) against a combined endpoint of per-
sistent infections, extragenital lesions, and CIN 1+ related to
HPV types 6, 11, 16, or 18 (9).
HPV burden of disease and impact of the vaccination
program in the United States. Approximately 33,700 cancers
are caused by HPV in the United States each year, includ-
ing 12,900 oropharyngeal cancers among men and women,
10,800 cervical cancers among women, and 6,000 anal cancers
among men and women; vaginal, vulvar, and penile cancers
are less common (10). HPV vaccination for adolescents has
been routinely recommended for females since 2006 and for
males since 2011 (1). The existing HPV vaccination program
for adolescents has the potential to prevent the majority of
these cancers. Mean age at acquisition of causal HPV infec-
tion for cancers is unknown, but is estimated to be decades
before cancer is diagnosed. In 2017, coverage with ≥1 dose of
HPV vaccine was 65.5% among adolescents aged 13 through
17 years (11). Although coverage with the recommended
number of doses remains below the Healthy People 2020
target of 80% for adolescents (12), the U.S. HPV vaccination
program has resulted in significant declines in prevalences of
vaccine-type HPV infections, anogenital warts, and cervical
precancers (13). For example, prevalences of 4vHPV vaccine-
type infection during 2013–2016, compared with those of the
prevaccine era, declined from 11.5% to 1.8% among females
aged 14 through 19 years and from 18.5% to 5.3% among
females aged 20 through 24 years (14). In addition, declines
have been observed among unvaccinated persons, suggesting
protective herd effects (15).
Health economic analyses. Five health economic models
of HPV vaccination in the United States were reviewed (16).
The cost effectiveness ratio for the current HPV vaccination
program ranged from cost-saving to approximately $35,000
per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained (16). In the
context of the existing vaccination program, the incremental
cost per QALY for expanding male vaccination through age
26 years was $178,000 in a subset of analyses in one of the five
models reviewed using more favorable model assumptions for
adult vaccination (16). In the context of the existing program,
expanding vaccination to adults through age 45 years would
produce relatively small additional health benefits and less
favorable cost-effectiveness ratios. The incremental cost per
QALY for also vaccinating adults through age 30 or 45 years
exceeded $300,000 in four of five models (16). Variation in
results across models was likely due to uncertainties about
HPV natural history, such as prevalence of immunity after
clearance of natural infections, and level of herd protection
from the existing program. Under the existing program, in
a subset of analyses in one of the five models reviewed using
more favorable model assumptions for adult vaccination, the
number needed to vaccinate (NNV) to prevent one case of
anogenital warts, CIN grade 2 or worse (high-grade lesions),
or cancer would be 9, 22, and 202, respectively. For expanding
recommendations for males through age 26 years to harmonize
catch-up vaccination across genders, these NNV would be 40,
450, and 3,260, respectively. For expanding recommendations
to include adults through age 45 years, these NNV would be
120, 800, and 6,500, respectively (16).