B-1
ER 415-1-15
31 Oct 89
APPENDIX B
DEVELOPMENT AND ANALYSIS OF ADVERSE WEATHER DATA
1. Development of Adverse Weather Data
-- This is the process of
collecting, compiling and analyzing the raw weather data (NOAA and other
sources) that forms the baseline for estimating anticipated delays and
project durations and determining the occurrence of unusually severe
weather. The following actions make up the development process:
a. Analyze the project scope and site geography to determine which
weather parameters (temperature, precipitation, wind, etc.) are
applicable. The parameters selected should present adverse conditions
that could potentially delay construction activities.
b. Review the technical specifications to determine the numerical
values that will be assigned to each parameter in order to establish the
anticipated adverse weather. Usually when two or more construction
phases are affected by the same parameter, the less severe numerical
value should be used (i.e., if roofing work is delayed by temperatures
below 40 degrees and concrete work is delayed by temperatures below 32
degrees, then the numerical value used to define adverse weather should
be 40 degrees unless some other factor renders the roofing phase
insignificant in terms of schedule criticality).
c. Compile the number of days per month that the anticipated weather
is expected to be adverse by analysis of NOAA or other weather data.
When at all possible, the last 10 years of consecutive data should be
used to establish the baseline. However, in the absence of 10 years of
data, a shorter period may be used. It may be necessary to extrapolate
the number of calendar days that the temperature is expected to fall
below the selected numerical value (say, 40 degrees) from raw data.
d. Adverse weather data must be periodically updated in order to
reflect changes in the 10 year averages and incorporate any necessary
corrections derived from actual field experience. It is recommended
that data used for establishing adverse weather baselines be reviewed
annually.
2. Application of Adverse Weather Data to Performance Time Estimates
--
The following paragraphs outline steps to develop the baseline schedule
in Appendix A and incorporate normal adverse weather data in estimates
of construction contract performance time.