30
NatCen Social Research | Medical cannabis and road safety
5.2.1 Degree of increased risk
A recent systematic review of reviews on cannabis-related harms (Campeny et al.,
2020) found that use of cannabis was associated with increased odds of a motor
vehicle collision, of being considered responsible for the collision, of non-fatal
collisions, of becoming involved in an accident, and of fatal collision. The increased
odds of these outcomes varied, with odds ratios of 1.6 to 2.7. While compelling, the
authors also found that most of the reviewed studies did not describe accurately the
frequency and quantity of cannabis used, or had difficulty isolating use of alcohol as a
confounding factor. Such limitations highlight “the need to include data on quantity,
frequency and patterns of use in future studies” (p. 31). More detail on these factors
and on type of cannabis used, would help define different types of users, (for example
‘heavy users’) and how risks link to each typology of user.
An earlier assessment of several studies (Rogeberg & Elvik 2016) found a somewhat
lower increased odds of motor vehicle crash due to the use of cannabis when
controlling for confounding factors (such as alcohol intoxication). Controlling for these
factors reduced the risk associated with cannabis alone to a “low-to-moderate”
magnitude (odds ratio of 1.4). The authors also suggested two interpretations of the
results that help explain the data:
• Cannabis users tend to be more aware of their impairment compared to alcohol
users. This might mean that only those who do not feel impaired drive, lowering
the risk of crashes. However, they also express concern that this could, in the
future, convince new users that driving while intoxicated by cannabis is not
problematic, making them overconfident and increasing the risk of crashes.
• Alternatively, they suggested that “deciding to drive while intoxicated is a
decision correlated with traits that predict higher crash risk independently of
cannabis use” (p. 10). Therefore, the estimation of crash risk linked to use of
cannabis may be pushed upwards by individuals who would be ‘high-risk’
drivers independently of the use of cannabis.
Culpability studies are a further approach to assess the potential risk for road safety
derived from the use of cannabis. These studies look at all the factors that may have
contributed to an accident, which include not just the actions of the driver but also, for
example, road type, vehicle conditions, crash type, and other parties’ responsibilities
(Brubacher et al., 2014).
A review of culpability studies (Rogeberg, 2019) found that the attributable risk fraction
from cannabis-impaired driving (the proportion of crashes that would be avoided if
cannabis-impaired driving was eliminated) is below 2% in all but two reviewed studies,
which shows that impairment linked to use of cannabis increases the risk of accidents,
although with a low magnitude. The authors indeed state: “While this indicates that the
overall public health impact of cannabis impaired driving is minor relative to that of
alcohol-impaired driving, it does not imply that cannabis impaired driving is safe, and
the low average is consistent with the presence of a smaller group of high-dose drivers
with more substantially raised risks” (Rogeberg, 2019: 78). Most included studies were
from the USA (as well as France, New Zealand and Australia) but many pre-dated
more recent cannabis legalisation and related to illicit cannabis use.
It is worth noting that the degrees of increased risk noted for THC are much lower than
those for driving impaired by alcohol. For example, a study from the US found that the
odds ratios for fatal injury for drivers with a blood alcohol concentration of 0.08% (the
legal limit in England) compared to sober drivers were 19.7 among drivers aged 16 to
20 and 7.5 for drivers aged 35 and over; the odds of fatal injury for drivers positive for
marijuana was not significantly different from 1 (Romano et al., 2014). A study using
data from several European countries found an odds ratio for fatal collision of 23.0 for