Visa
Economic
Empowerment
Institute
Imagining an open
future for payments
The economic empowerment
of digital remittances:
How to unlock the benets
of innovation and competition
Remittances are born of sacrice and separation. These monetary lifelines sent
back home by migrant workers are crucial for hundreds of millions of families
and for scores of countries that depend on them. This paper examines the latest
global remittance trends; describes the advantages of digital remittances and the
transparency they aord; and oers recommendations for further unlocking these
benets for migrant workers, their families, businesses, and communities.
Synopsis
Remittances are monetary lifelines sent by migrant workers
back home. They are crucial for hundreds of millions of families
and for many countries that depend on them. In this paper,
the Visa Economic Empowerment Institute (VEEI) examines
remittance trends, highlights the advantages of digital
remittances, and oers recommendations for continuing to
improve global money movement. By examining World Bank
data and performing our own remittance modeling, we nd
that digital remittances are on an excellent cost trajectory.
We nd that remittance innovation, in the form of new digital
business models paired with global network capabilities,
is achieving faster speed, better transparency, and lower
costs for people who depend on them. Further reductions
in remittance costs will require compliance and license
streamlining and—just as importantly—digital enablement
for recipient families and countries, so that remittance
ows are truly digital end to end. In this paper, we oer ve
recommendations for unlocking the benets of remittance
innovation and competition for everyone, everywhere.
©2022 Visa. All rights reserved.
Visa Economic Empowerment Institute
The economic empowerment
of digital remittances:
How to unlock the benets
of innovation and competition
Visa Economic Empowerment Institute
Imagining an open
future for payments
Acknowledgments
This study was authored by Chad Harper from the Visa Economic
Empowerment Institute and Ram Rakkappan from Visa Government
Engagement, with strong research and analytical support from Jacob Levy.
The authors thank the following colleagues for their input and review: Peter
Conti-Brown, Tierney Deggelman, Hanif Dharamsi, Brendan Fitzgibbon, Tania
Garcia-Millan, Aida Hadzibegovic, Aysen Kenar, Barbara Kotschwar, and Dan
Roesbery. The following colleagues from DevTech Systems made impactful
research contributions: Matthew Dietz, Nemanja Jovanovic, Jose Pineda,
Haykuhi Sekhposyan, Gabrielle Sinnott, and Adrienne Uselman. For their
helpful comments and contributions, we also gratefully thank Jen Swetzo for
editorial assistance and the design team from 451.
About the Visa Economic Empowerment Institute
The VEEI is a non-partisan center of excellence for research and public-private
dialogue established by Visa.
The VEEI’s overarching mission is to promote public policies that empower
individuals, small businesses, and economies. It produces research and insights
that inform long-term policy within the global payments ecosystem. Visa
established the VEEI as the next step in its ongoing work to remove barriers to
economic empowerment and to create more inclusive, equitable economic
opportunities for everyone, everywhere.
Visit: visaeconomicempowermentinstitute.org
Index
Key insights 7
Introduction 11
Remittance inows are critical—and they have been
resilient in challenging times 12
Digital remittances were key to the resilience of inows,
but we need to enable more of them 17
Costs are still high for the average remittance, but are much
lower for digital remittances and in cases where a migrant worker
can compare multiple options 20
In light of these insights, a few imperatives emerge 26
How we unlock the benets of remittance innovation
and competition for everyone, everywhere 29
Sources 32
Annex 1: Foreign exchange percentage for 2022 data sample 35
Annex 2: Text descriptions of gures and tables 36
Visa Economic Empowerment Institute Imagining an open future for payments
7
Key insights
This paper examines the latest global remittance trends; describes the advantages of digital
remittances and digital enablement of migrant workers, their families, and communities; and oers
recommendations for unlocking the benets of innovation and competition for everyone, everywhere.
Below are the key insights from our research and analysis—they are discussed at greater length in the
body of the paper.
Remittance inows are critical—and they have been resilient in challenging times
Remittances proved surprisingly resilient during the pandemic. Though expected to decline in 2020,
global remittance inows actually rose, a remarkable showing in a year characterized by shutdowns
and slowdowns. Remittance inows for 2021 were very strong, reaching $773 billion globally and $605
billion for low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). In addition to being a critical lifeline for families,
remittances are critical to many countries. In 2021, 30 countries received over 10 percent of their GDP in
remittances, and eight countries received over 25 percent of their GDP via these ows.
Digital remittances were key to the resilience of inows, but we need to enable more of them
Border closures and business lockdowns in the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic made cash-based
over-the-counter and informal systems dicult to operate. Mobile-money remittances grew almost
50 percent from 2020 to 2021, but they still account for less than 3 percent of overall remittance ows.
Money Transfer Operators (MTOs)—both the established operators with updated digital business
models and the new breed of digital-rst MTOs—saw digitally initiated remittances more than double
during the pandemic, accelerating a trend that was already in play. These newer services oer a variety
of advantages for senders and receivers, but still only a third of remittances are initiated digitally, and
only one third of those are picked up digitally. Given the cost advantages of digital remittances, our
focus needs to be on how to enable more of them.
Costs are still high for the average remittance, but are much lower for digital remittances
and in cases where a migrant worker can compare multiple options
Policymakers have focused on remittances for years, and these transfers have often been the most-
discussed example of the various frictions of cross-border payments. The frictions include lack of
transparency, slowness, and relatively high costs due to the complexities of regulatory compliance and,
in some cases, a lack of competitors.
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As of Q2 2022, World Bank remittance price data show that:
The average $200 remittance costs 6.01 percent—this is the headline number policymakers most
often mention.
Cash-funded remittances cost 6.52 percent, and cash has routinely been the highest cost way of
funding a remittance.
The digital remittances index (for remittances digitally initiated in an online or self-assisted way) is 4.80
percent.
The SmaRT index (a measure of what a savvy consumer with access to suciently complete
information could pay) is at 3.35 percent—almost at the 3 percent UN Sustainable Development Goal
(SDG) 10 target.
These observations are conrmed by VEEI modeling of card-initiated digital remittances over the last
two years. In our modeling, we determined costs across several MTOs for 25 key global corridors and
compiled three measures: the average cost, lowest cost, and highest cost.
The average costs for a $200 remittance across all MTOs and corridors declined from 4.24 to 3.89
percent in 2022, a drop of almost 10 percent—this is roughly analogous to the digital remittances
index from the World Bank.
The average of the lowest costs declined from 2.96 to 2.08 percent in 2022, a decline of almost 30
percent—this measure is roughly analogous to the World Banks SmaRT index.
By contrast, the average of the highest costs found in the corridors went up from 6.15 to 7.09 percent
in 2022, driven largely by two corridors, where MTOs were oering dramatically dierent pricing.
Migrant workers without the ability to check on multiple options could have paid exceptionally high
prices (and some undoubtedly did) during this period.
Overall, while the average price of a remittance in our research was 3.89 percent, we were able to nd a
sub-3 percent remittance in 20 of our 25 corridors in 2022.
I
n light of these insights, a few imperatives emerge
Clearly, the abilit
y to send remittances digitally and to easily compare options make a big dierence
to remittance senders and their families. So, what can the public and private sectors do to bring the
power of innovation and competition to more people?
Traditional remittances must become digital. Cash-initiated remittances are the most expensive way
to send a remittance, and it is perhaps worse on the receiving end—many MTOs maintain vast cash
out networks in receiving countries, and this adds appreciable costs to remittances today.
Visa Economic Empowerment Institute Imagining an open future for payments
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Migrant workers must be able to compare options and send remittances digitally, and their families
must be able to then spend the funds digitally at businesses in their communities. None of this can
happen without basic digital infrastructure.
Innovation must be facilitated by more consistently applied compliance rules and by well-developed
standards, and consumer choice needs to be promoted by making it easier for remittance providers to
bring new innovations to market.
How we unlock the benets of remittance innovation and competition for everyone,
everywhere
We believe these ve steps will help unlock the benets of innovation and competition for more people
while also uplifting businesses and communities.
Begin with digital enabling infrastructure, if it does not already exist
The digital receipt and use of remittances will be a non-starter without basic enabling infrastructure. For
millions of people, basic infrastructure like electricity will be a barrier to the digitization of remittances,
payments, and commerce. Beyond electricity, internet connectivity—and increasingly broadband
connectivity—will be crucial.
Focus on digital enablement broadly, keeping both consumers and businesses in mind
While the digital receipt of remittances is critical for further progress on eciency, we must keep in mind
that the larger goal is to digitally enable everyone, everywhere, to fully participate in this new world.
Individuals need to be able to receive remittance funds digitally and then to use them digitally, with
ubiquity. This requires digitally enabling businesses, especially small businesses, helping them to accept
digital payments and to connect them to digital marketplaces. Therefore, consumers and businesses
must both be part of the equation in achieving digital ubiquity, and the countries that have driven digital
ubiquity most successfully over the last decade have worked to drive adoption on both sides.
Aim for an open, interoperable digital ecosystem built on a foundation of resilience and security
As policymakers strive to promote digital remittances, we believe that they should adopt a principle-led
and outcome-based approach, giving payment service providers and payment networks the exibility to
innovate in order to deliver against goals. Interoperability should be favored over uniformity—more paths
are better than one. A truly interoperable service should be able to reach as many endpoints as possible:
traditional bank accounts, prepaid accounts, or digital wallets.
Streamline the compliance environment to reduce cross-border frictions
While the private sector is innovating, competing, and improving speed and eciency, policymakers
have a key role to play. Remittances and other cross-border payments go through a number of regulatory
regimes that currently add frictions. But these frictions can be reduced by streamlining and aligning
compliance rules as much as possible. We therefore believe that it is critical for the public sector to address
the regulatory, supervisory, and oversight frameworks focus area of the Financial Stability Board (FSB)
cross-border roadmap.
OCT 2022The economic empowerment of digital remittances: How to unlock the benets of innovation and competition
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Simplify the licensing process to allow innovation and competition to thrive
Policymakers can also help the private sector introduce innovations more quickly and with
less burden. Increased consistency of licensing requirements would help remittance service
providers enter and operate across multiple markets with less friction. Currently, with vastly
dierent license requirements around the globe that need to be navigated, companies must
spend large amounts of time and money to navigate the dierent policies and requirements,
and as Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and World Bank researchers recently noted,
this process can take years. Streamlining licensing requirements and processes will help new
market entrants bring the benets of digital remittances to more corridors, and therefore to
more people.
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Introduction
Remittances
1
have been top of mind for policymakers for years, but two recent developments
have made them more topical than ever. First, there has been an increasing policy focus on
cross-border payments, and remittances are a key component; the public and private sectors
are currently mobilized to examine and address the various frictions of cross-border money
movement as part of a multiyear roadmap being managed by the Financial Stability Board
(FSB). Second, the COVID-19 pandemic reduced employment in typical remittance-sending
countries and also made traditional remittances more dicult to send, since many people in
these jurisdictions have spent more than two years living through various levels of stay-at-
home orders. Against this backdrop, remittances have been transforming toward digital for
a few years—the way commerce has transformed toward e-commerce—and this trend has
accelerated during the pandemic, even as overall economic activity and remittance volumes
have been suppressed.
The Visa Economic Empowerment Institute (VEEI) assembled a study team to examine how
innovation, technology, and the power of global networks are aecting remittance behaviors
and costs. The narrative ow of the paper is as follows:
Remittance inows are critical—and they have been resilient in challenging times.
Digital remittances were key to the resilience of inows, but we need to enable more of them.
Costs are still high for the “average remittance, but are much lower for digital remittances and in
cases where a migrant worker can compare multiple options.
In light of these insights, a few imperatives emerge, and they include enabling more digital
remittances and streamlining the regulatory and licensing environments.
We oer ve steps for unlocking the benets of innovation and competition for everyone,
everywhere.
For the purposes of this paper, remittances are dened as cross-border person-to-person payments
of relatively low value.
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Remittance inows are
critical—and they have been
resilient in challenging times
From 1990 to 2021, there was a total of $10.9 trillion in remittances sent globally with an annual average
of $340 billion. Of this, $7.9 trillion went to low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), for a yearly
average of $245 billion. Remittances remained mostly steady from 1990 to 2000 before increasing at a
greater rate in the early 2000s. As migration continued to climb, the remittances also grew.
Remittances proved surprisingly resilient during the pandemic. These critical inows were initially
expected to decline appreciably in 2020, but by the end of the year most observers expected that
inows had fallen only slightly. When KNOMAD (a global hub of knowledge and policy expertise on
migration and development issues supported by the World Bank) published nal data for 2021 in
May of 2022, the data for 2020 were also restated, and observers learned that remittances had not
fallen at all in the most severe year of the pandemic. In 2020, global remittance inows rose slightly
to $719 billion, and ows to LMICs rose to nearly $558 billion—a remarkable showing. Remittance
ows for 2021 were very strong, reaching $773 billion globally, including $605 billion for LMICs.
Further growth of about 4 percent is expected for 2022 (World Bank Group [WBG] & KNOMAD, 2022).
The next two gures depict the absolute dollar ows of remittances and the year-over-year (YoY)
growth trends from 1990 to 2021, for both the world and LMICs.
Figure 1: Remittance inows for world and LMICs, 1990-2021
Source: KNOMAD May 2022 data
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Figure 2: Year-over-year changes in remittance ows to LMICs (bars) and world (lines), 1991-2021
Source: VEEI analysis of KNOMAD May 2022 data
The resilience of remittance ows during the pandemic can be attributed to several factors.
The unexpected increase of remittances was partially driven by a surge in COVID-19 cases
in LMICs; migrants (often considered essential workers in their host G20 countries) rushed
to provide nancial support to cushion the impact of the pandemic on their families. This
pattern was reinforced by the robust scal stimulus implemented by developed countries,
which are major migrant host countries. Additionally, more remittances likely shifted from
informal channels (which were not as resilient to border closures and travel restrictions) to
more formal and digital channels.
Remittances
are key to many
LMICs
The following gure depicts the LMICs receiving the largest remittance ows in 2021. The
gold points show inows for 2020. The relative positions of these countries have been fairly
steady over time; only a couple of positions in the chart would have been dierent in 2020.
Ukraine, a key receiver of remittances, occupied tenth place in 2021. Remittances to the
country are expected to rise 22 percent in 2022, so this position should be higher when
2022 inow data become available (WBG & KNOMAD, 2022).
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Figure 3: Top 10 remittance receiving LMICs by absolute value (2021 in bars, 2020 in points)
Source: KNOMAD May 2022 data
Perhaps a better way to consider the importance of remittance inows is to analyze how much of
a countrys GDP is derived from them. The current global average of remittances as a percentage
of a countrys GDP is 5.6 percent. In 2021, 30 countries received more than 10 percent of their GDP
in remittances, and eight countries received more than 25 percent of their GDP via these ows. The
countries most reliant on remittance inow were Lebanon (53.8 percent of GDP), Tonga (43.9 percent
of GDP), and Tajikistan (35.5 percent of GDP). Many LMICs experienced a severe recession following the
COVID-19 pandemic, so although inows were quite resilient, the remittance-to-GDP ratio could be
higher in some places than it has been historically.
Figure 4: Top 10 remittance receiving LMICs as a % of GDP, 2021
Source: KNOMAD May 2022 data
Visa Economic Empowerment Institute Imagining an open future for payments
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Regional
developments
aected 2021
inows
Remittance trends in 2021 varied widely across countries and regions. Analysis of KNOMAD data shows
that LMICs accounted for just over three-fourths of global remittance inows in 2021. In this group,
South Asia contributed $157 billion (up 6.8 percent from 2020); East Asia and the Pacic contributed
$136 billion (down 2 percent); Latin America and the Caribbean contributed $133 billion (up 27
percent); Europe and Central Asia contributed $74 billion (up 8 percent); and the Middle East and
North Africa (MENA) region contributed $62 billion (up 7.6 percent).
In South Asia, India received the greatest value of remittance inows in 2021, for a total of $82.7 billion
(up 8 percent from 2020). In Bangladesh, remittances also showed growth, increasing by 2.2 percent in
2021. By contrast, there was a 10 percent decline in remittances ows to Pakistan in 2021. The economic
turmoil in Sri Lanka also led to a considerable reduction in remittance inows, which decreased by 22.7
percent between 2020 and 2021.
In East Asia and the Pacic, remittance inows grew 2.5 percent by the end of 2021, following a
2.4 percent decline in 2020. Defying earlier predictions of lessening ows due to the pandemic,
remittances to the Philippines increased by 4.3 percent in 2021. A key factor for this resilience was the
growth of inows from the United States. This positive growth helped to oset declines in remittances
from the Middle East and Europe, which fell by 10.6 percent and 10.8 percent, respectively, in 2020.
The decline from remittances in the Middle East reects the absence of formal safety nets available to
migrant workers in the face of the pandemic and the large repatriation of overseas Filipino workers. In
contrast with the Philippines, Indonesias overall remittances fell by 17.3 percent in 2020 and 1.3 percent
in 2021 due to the countrys dependency on inows from Saudi Arabia and Malaysia.
In Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), Mexico received the greatest value of remittance inows,
a total of $54.1 billion—up by a staggering 25.3 percent from 2020, largely due to the continuing
number of migrants moving to the United States. In Mexico, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and
Jamaica, 95 percent of remittances come from migrants working in the United States. The economic
situation in Spain also has a direct impact on the remittance ows to the LAC region, as the country
hosts one-tenth of all migrants from this area. Spains poor economic situation in 2020 had an especially
negative impact on Bolivia, Peru, and Colombia, which all saw decreased inows that year. However, the
subsequent economic growth in Spain led to sizeable increases in the remittance ows to Bolivia (24
percent), Peru (22 percent), and Colombia (24 percent) in 2021.
Although the region was strongly aected by COVID-19, Europe and Central Asia saw inows increase
by 8 percent in 2021, for a total of $74 billion. Ukraine, the largest recipient of remittances in the region,
saw an 11.6 percent increase in 2021. In Central Asia, Uzbekistan saw a decline of 7.1 percent in 2020 and
an increase of 12.1 percent in 2021. The most remittance-dependent country in the region at present is
the Kyrgyz Republic. Remittance inows amounted to 31.3 percent of GDP in 2020 and 32.8 percent of
GDP in 2021. More than 80 percent of remittances sent to the Kyrgyz Republic come from Russia. Near-
term projections for remittances to the region are highly uncertain, owing to the war in Ukraine and the
eectiveness of the sanctions on outbound payments from Russia. However, as stated above, remittance
inows to Ukraine are expected to increase by 22 percent in 2022 (WBG & KNOMAD, 2022).
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The LMICs of the Middle East and North Africa accrued remittances totaling $61 billion during
2021, with growth registering a strong 7.6 percent. The Arab Republic of Egypt was the largest
recipient of remittances in the region (representing 51 percent of the total in 2021), garnering
$32 billion—an increase of 6.4 percent from 2020. Morocco saw a signicant increase, nearly
40 percent, in 2021. In Sub-Saharan Africa, remittance inows to Nigeria declined 27 percent
in 2020 and showed a recovery increase of 12 percent in 2021. Remittance growth was also
reported in Mozambique (67 percent), Kenya (20 percent), and Ghana (5 percent).
Visa Economic Empowerment Institute Imagining an open future for payments
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Digital remittances were key
to the resilience of inows,
but we need to enable more of them
The resilience in the formal recorded remittance ows may be attributed to several factors. One
was the desire on the part of cross-border workers to help their families by reducing their own
consumption, drawing on their accumulated savings, or in some cases repatriating their wealth
as their host countries, such as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, reduced the number
of migrants. As traditional sources of work in sectors disrupted by the pandemic disappeared and
incomes declined, migrants found alternative means of funding these crucial remittances. This
prevented many low-income households in LMICs—including rural, women-led, and refugee
households—from falling into poverty.
Also, countercyclical scal policies have sustained incomes and livelihoods, especially in the United
States and Europe. These two regions are among the largest originators of the remittances. Thus,
in 2020, remittance outows from the United States, Switzerland, and Germany were $68 billion,
$28 billion, and $22 billion, respectively, accounting for 22 percent of global remittances. Saudi
Arabia ($43 billion) and the United Arab Emirates ($34 billion) were also major remittance countries
undertaking stimulative measures. Such countercyclical policies softened employment and income
declines among migrant and foreign-born populations. One relevant example in this sense is the
CARES Act, implemented in the United States, hosting the largest migrant stock worldwide and
recording the largest remittance outows in 2020 (WBG & KNOMAD, 2021).
The actions of public-sector and international bodies have signicantly contributed to the continuity
of remittance ows. Often working in consultation with the private sector, governments and
regulators took measures to create a more enabling environment to keep remittances owing
and to promote the uptake of digital channels. As a rst step, many governments declared
remittance service providers (RSPs)—the businesses that provide remittance services to senders and
recipients—to be essential. International organizations, for their part, used their convening powers
to bring together dierent industry stakeholders, framing their eorts within the commitments to
existing global development goals on remittances. These goals include the UN (2015) Sustainable
Development Goal (SDG) targets to reduce remittance costs to 3 percent by 2030 and to mobilize
additional nancial resources for LMICs from dierent sources, including remittances; as well as
Objective 20 of UN Womens (2022) Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration (GCM) to
“promote faster, safer and cheaper transfer of remittances and foster nancial inclusion of migrants.
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There was an unprecedented switch to regulated and digital channels for remittances as the
pandemic changed consumer behavior and business models. Border closures and business
lockdowns in the early days of the crisis caused cash-based over-the-counter and informal systems to
struggle to operate. Under such conditions, the cost, convenience, and security attractions of digitally
enabled remittances became apparent, and the demonstrated use of these channels increased.
This, in turn, facilitated the development of linkages with other digital nancial services, building
longer term nancial resilience for remittance users. Some observers believe crypto remittances hold
much promise, but as Manuel Orozco noted this spring, crypto accounted for less than 1 percent of
remittances to Latin America in 2021, and there are a variety of barriers to migrant workers obtaining
and using crypto (Orozco et al., 2022). Migrant workers in the US have an income four times below
that of the average crypto user, for instance. Crypto notwithstanding, there is an increase in number
of cross-border transactions for mobile-based payment channels. According to the GSM Association,
$15.9 billion in remittances were processed through mobile money in 2021, representing strong
yearly growth of 48 percent (Awanis et al., 2022). But mobile money remittances still make up less
than 3 percent of overall remittance ows. Migrant workers around the globe are also shifting toward
digital remittance services because they help reduce the money transfer time and remittance costs.
Moreover, digital remittance services oer high privacy and protection for consumers money. The
surge in formal transfers is validated, among other evidence, by the rising volume of transactions
through digital money transfer operators (MTOs) (Balch, 2020). However, digitally initiated
remittances still represent just one third of all remittances.
The next gure depicts a six-year quarterly view of remittance initiation trends derived from a
DevTech/VEEI analysis of the data in the World Banks (2022) Remittance Prices Worldwide database,
which includes information on a few hundred global corridors. More than 100,000 records were
analyzed and categorized. Remittances not initiated through payment cards (debit or credit)
or mobile money payment instruments were treated as traditionally initiated. It is possible this
methodology misses some online remittances, but the other payment methods have long been
used in physical locations, so the team chose to use a conservative view. Of the remittances initiated
with payment cards or mobile money, a further distinction was made in how the remittance was
picked up. If a remittance was digitally initiated but picked up in some traditional way such as cash, it
is considered digitally initiated” in the gure. If a remittance was digitally initiated and transmitted to
a card, mobile money account, or bank account, it was considered digital end-to-end.
Visa Economic Empowerment Institute Imagining an open future for payments
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Figure 5: Digital remittance trends over 25 quarters, 2016-2022
Source: VEEI/Devtech Systems analysis of WBG Remittance Prices Worldwide Quarterly data
The gure shows a marked shift toward digital initiation overall (which includes both blue
categories), and a very important shift in digital end-to-end remittances. The gure further shows
this shift accelerated greatly in early 2021. However, many observers noted the change in early
2020 as lockdowns proceeded, so it was likely taking place for some corridors earlier and became
widespread in the sampled corridors a few quarters later. Since mid-2018, digitally initiated
remittances have tripled, rising from 10 percent of remittances to 34 percent. Digital end-to-end
remittances more than quadrupled during this period (from 3 to 13 percent), but much of this
progress was quite recent: Fully digital remittances more than doubled, growing from 6 to 13
percent between Q1 of 2021 and Q1 of 2022. We will discuss the importance of these end-to-end
digital remittances later in this paper.
Still, the majority of remittances involves cash being used at RSPs, where migrant workers can rely
on the mediating support of agents. Thus, during COVID-19 related lockdowns, resilient remittance
ows also depended on the accessibility of RSPs that were declared essential” services (Remittance
Community Task Force, 2020).
OCT 2022The economic empowerment of digital remittances: How to unlock the benets of innovation and competition
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Costs are still high for the average
remittance, but are much lower for digital
remittances and in cases where a migrant
worker can compare multiple options
In 2015, the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), seeking to reduce inequality among
countries, set forth a 3 percent remittance cost target (for a $200 remittance) to be achieved by 2030.
More recently, remittances have become an important part of the cross-border payments roadmap
being managed by the FSB (2020) with signicant support from the Committee on Payments and
Market Infrastructures (CPMI), International Monetary Fund (IMF), WBG, and others. In October of
2021, the FSB rearmed the remittance cost target of 3 percent, and new targets for speed, access,
and transparency were added.
Some key players in cross-border payments and remittances
FSB: Entity that promotes international nancial stability by coordinating nancial authorities and international standard-setting
bodies; responsible for the cross-border roadmap.
CPMI: Committee of nearly 30 central banks / jurisdictions that coordinates international eorts on payments policy and standards;
a major player in the cross-border roadmap.
World Bank: An international nancial institution that provides assistance to the governments of LMICs for the purpose of pursuing capital
projects; the World Bank is the major source of data on remittance prices and (through KNOMAD) on remittance ow trends.
KNOMAD: The Global Knowledge Partnership on Migration and Development is a brain trust for the global migration community. It is an
open, inclusive, multidisciplinary knowledge partnership that draws on experts to create and synthesize knowledge for use by
policymakers in sending, receiving, and transit countries. The secretariat is housed in the World Bank.
IMF: An international organization of almost 200 countries that works to foster global monetary cooperation, secure nancial
stability, and reduce poverty around the world.
Cost
measurements
include transfer
charges and
foreign exchange
margins
When the UN (or another organization) sets a cost target of 3 percent, the total consumer cost of
the remittance is envisioned. The cost of remittances is calculated as the simple average total cost
for sending $200 or $500 (and their equivalents) through RSPs, as captured by the World Bank
(2022) Remittance Prices Worldwide database. The total cost charged by a provider includes the
remittance transfer fee and, importantly, the foreign exchange rate applied by the RSP. The World
Bank tracks costs in a variety of ways.
Visa Economic Empowerment Institute Imagining an open future for payments
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World Bank
quarterly reports
and data show
positive cost
trends
Although these gures have not fallen as much as the public and private sectors would like,
there have been benecial cost trends even over the last few years, and some of these results
are attributable to the rise of digital remittances. The gure below depicts trends over the past
11 quarters for three key measures of remittance costs.
Figure 6: Remittance cost trends; $200 remittance, Q4 2019 - Q2 2022
Source: WBG Remittance Prices Worldwide Quarterly reports
The trends across three key measures (despite a slight uptick in early 2022) are all good:
At the time the FSB roadmap stages were kicking o in late 2019, the average cost of sending a $200 remittance
was 6.82 percent; this has fallen to 6.01 percent, a decline of more than 10 percent over the 11 quarters.
A relatively new measure (the digital remittances index) was introduced to track the cost of remittances
that are digitally initiated in an online or self-assisted way. Costs for this index fell from 5.5 to 4.8 over 11
quarters, about a 12 percent decline.
The Global SmaRT Average reects what a savvy consumer could pay to transfer remittances in each corridor.
The three lowest costs for each corridor in the World Banks quarterly sample are averaged to produce the
number. It is clear that access to information really helps obtain a lower cost. Over the past 11 quarters, costs
have dropped from 4.37 percent to 3.35 percent for this index, a decline of around 23 percent.
An analysis of the past 11 Remittance Prices Worldwide quarterly reports reveals a couple of other key trends.
Cash and bank accounts are almost always the highest cost methods for sending a remittance. Mobile money
and payment cards are the lowest cost ways of sending remittances, and mobile money is often the very
lowest cost. In 10 of the last 11 quarterly reports, mobile money was found to be the least expensive means of
sending remittances, with cards dipping below mobile money in the rst quarter of 2021. With these trends in
mind, VEEI wanted to take a deeper dive into (1) card-initiated remittances (which are likely to take advantage
of newer money movement innovations) and (2) the value of being able to shop around for the best price.
OCT 2022The economic empowerment of digital remittances: How to unlock the benets of innovation and competition
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VEEI cost modeling
conrms the
value of digital
remittances and
the ability to
compare options
In concert with other MTO innovations, digital remittances can oer faster and more ecient transfers
because they take advantage of new money movement networks, avoiding correspondent banking
movement in many instances. Correspondent banking has been critical to global money movement for
decades, but this money movement method inherently involves more touches by more players, which
will always increase costs. In fact, simply maintaining the nostro and vostro accounts needed to move
money through the correspondent system can be quite costly for the banks involved. Correspondent
banking is also facing a variety of challenges, notably a broad-based retreat in the number of its cross-
border relationships (Rice et al., 2020). As we noted in The rise of digital remittances, several newer global
money movement capabilities have been developed and rolled out in recent years (Harper, 2021). These
models typically involve a central network that is always on and that avoids multiple hand-os. These
services are faster, often completing cross-border transactions in minutes, and they provide greater visibility
and certainty for both the sender and the receiver. In these newer money movement methods, a network
solves for the complexity of interacting with multiple payment systems, settlement, and foreign exchange.
(See Box 1 for a real-world example of one of these next-generation networks, which is powering millions
of digital remittances today.)
We used publicly
available tools to
model costs
To further evaluate digital remittance cost trends, we examined digital remittance costs in 28 corridors
in February 2021. The study team was particularly interested in the costs of digital remittances powered
by the new global money movement networks, and debit and/or credit cards are used to initiate more
of these transfers. In other words, debit card- and credit card-initiated remittances were used as a proxy
for digital remittances using the new global networks. The corridors were chosen to represent a good
number of the top receiving countries—both the ones that receive the most in value and the ones that
receive a high percentage of their GDP in remittances. We repeated the exercise in February 2022.
A very positive aspect of digital remittances is that consumers can shop around if they have digital
tools. Of the ve MTOs we looked into, four allowed modeling of a remittance via their website or app.
A user is able to select a corridor, payment method, and pickup method and see the costs, broken into
transfer fees and foreign exchange margins. We used this modeling capability to examine costs for $200
and $500 remittances (or the sending countrys equivalent) for the corridors in February 2021 and 2022.
This analysis obviously is not comprehensive—we wanted to examine the impact on costs of digital
remittances using the newer global networks. Data were gathered for a couple of established MTOs
that oer a digital remittance product and for a few of the new digital-rst MTOs. Due to some remote
browsing restrictions imposed by one country in our 2021 sample, we have 25 corridors in the two-year
data collection. The full matrix of corridors and costs is included in the following table. The table depicts
the average costs for all MTOs in the corridors, the lowest costs, and the highest costs. These costs are
inclusive of fees and foreign exchange costs. See Annex 1 for more detail on the FX portion of the 2022
average costs depicted in the table.
Visa Economic Empowerment Institute Imagining an open future for payments
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BOX 1:
Visa Direct and
global money
movement
Visa Direct is a payments network partnering up with nancial institutions, ntechs, processors,
remitters, governments, and merchants to oer real-time* person-to-person (P2P), business-
to-small business (B2b), business-to-consumer (B2C), and government-to-consumer (G2C)
payments and funds disbursements. Visa Direct can reach 7 billion cards, accounts, and digital
wallets across 190 countries to help our clients transform global money movement.
Visa Direct reaches endpoints by providing access to 16 card-based networks, 65 domestic ACH
schemes, 11 RTP schemes, 5 payment gateways, and access to one of the world’s largest cross
border ACH networks.
* Actual funds availability depends on receiving nancial institution and region.
Visa Direct Network for Cross Border
Visa Direct is a leading global network to help transform global money movement
Visa Direct already partners with the top 5 remittances businesses, with some of them reporting the
following trends during their 2Q 2022 earnings calls:
MoneyGram reported 36 percent year-over-year growth in digital transactions, with 44 percent of
all money transfer transactions being digital in Q2.
Remitly, a digital-rst MTO, reported a 43 percent rise in active customers and a 90 percent
increase in engagement via mobile device.
Intermex reported a 106.6 percent increase in digital transactions from the previous quarter.
OCT 2022The economic empowerment of digital remittances: How to unlock the benets of innovation and competition
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Table 1: VEEI / DevTech corridor analysis of $200 and $500 remittances, 2021-2022
CORRIDOR
$200 REMITTANCES $500 REMITTANCES
AVERAGE
CUSTOMER COST %
LOWEST
CUSTOMER COST %
HIGHEST
CUSTOMER COST %
AVERAGE
CUSTOMER COST %
LOWEST
CUSTOMER COST %
HIGHEST
CUSTOMER COST %
2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022
Australia-Vietnam 3.09 3.39 1.95 1.45 6.04 5.27 2.19 2.68 1.26 0.94 4.97 4.49
Canada-Vietnam 4.29 4.34 2.00 2.21 7.45 7.56 3.72 4.03 2.00 1.75 7.27 7.65
France-Algeria 10.94 4.98 10.94 2.49 10.94 9.95 8.97 3.47 8.97 1.17 8.97 8.05
Germany-Vietnam 4.44 3.81 2.48 0.71 10.63 10.33 3.24 2.82 1.66 0.71 9.25 8.40
Gr
eece-Albania 2.72 2.05 0.65 0.64 3.40 2.40 1.88 1.09 0.50 0.50 2.34 1.41
Italy-Albania 2.56 2.52 0.65 0.64 3.49 4.84 1.81 1.78 0.50 0.50 2.69 3.53
Italy-Nigeria 2.70 1.20 2.46 0.00 3.17 2.66 2.43 0.71 2.38 0.00 2.46 1.55
Kuwait-India 1.96 1.74 1.73 1.74 2.19 1.74 0.98 0.77 0.76 0.77 1.21 0.77
New Zealand-Samoa 8.15 5.75 8.15 4.44 8.15 7.28 6.87 5.08 6.87 3.66 6.87 6.54
Russia-Kyrgyzstan 0.52 3.05 0.03 3.05 1.96 3.05 0.51 3.16 0.02 3.16 1.96 3.16
Russia-Moldova 1.82 2.78 0.03 2.74 7.20 2.90 1.81 2.08 0.02 1.77 7.20 3.01
Russia-Tajikistan 5.99 2.90 5.99 2.90 5.99 2.90 5.99 3.01 5.99 3.01 5.99 3.01
UAE-Egypt 3.70 4.34 2.54 3.74 5.94 5.71 3.94 4.71 3.48 4.51 4.77 4.85
UAE-India 2.37 3.33 0.37 2.54 4.49 5.07 3.24 3.82 2.51 3.52 4.01 4.59
UAE-Pakistan 3.41 3.46 2.54 2.64 4.97 5.25 3.83 3.92 3.48 3.62 4.35 4.68
UAE-P
hilippines 3.04 3.20 2.21 2.17 4.66 5.20 3.47 3.66 3.14 3.15 4.08 4.64
UK-Kenya 4.62 3.54 2.89 1.57 9.92 9.62 3.97 3.27 2.10 1.37 9.13 8.86
UK-Nigeria 1.79 1.68 1.13 0.00 2.13 4.98 1.67 0.95 0.75 0.00 2.13 3.08
USA-Dominican Republic 7.06 7.94 4.29 4.04 9.06 18.70 6.29 6.88 2.87 2.01 8.88 15.30
USA-El Salvador 4.70 4.31 2.91 0.99 6.10 8.26 3.01 2.81 1.19 0.40 4.40 4.85
USA-Guatemala 4.43 3.78 2.13 0.29 9.97 8.79 3.56 2.87 1.49 0.29 8.44 7.12
USA-Haiti 5.27 6.11 4.90 4.47 5.66 10.97 3.22 4.06 2.15 2.15 4.06 8.55
USA-Honduras 5.33 5.19 3.93 1.72 6.59 9.15 3.63 3.72 2.24 1.13 4.82 5.75
USA-Jamaica 6.42 7.54 4.46 2.57 7.85 17.22 6.16 5.87 3.57 2.74 8.38 12.81
USA-Mexico 4.60 4.30 2.62 2.17 5.84 7.53 3.67 2.71 1.56 0.29 5.31 5.53
AVERAGES
4.24 3.89 2.96 2.08 6.15 7.09 3.60 3.20 2.46 1.72 5.36 5.69
CORRIDORS UNDER 3%
8 7 18 20 3 5
Source: VEEI / DevTech Systems analysis
Although the average costs across all MTOs and corridors were over the 3 percent target, a consumer
able to shop around would have been able to send a remittance at below a 3 percent cost in 20 of the
25 corridors (80 percent of them) in 2022—an improvement over 2021.
Visa Economic Empowerment Institute Imagining an open future for payments
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The average costs
declined, but the
real story is the
power of shopping
for the best option
As detailed in the following box plots, costs declined from 2021 to 2022 for two measures,
and they increased for one.
Figure 7: Averages of overall costs, lowest costs, and highest costs for sending a $200 remittance, 2021-2022
Source: VEEI / DevTech Systems analysis
The average costs across all MTOs and corridors declined from 4.24 to 3.89 percent in 2022, a decline of
almost 10 percent. Looking at the second pair of box plots oers a more compelling insight. Here, we show
the lowest cost oered by any of the MTOs for the corridors. The average of the lowest costs declined from
2.96 to 2.08 percent in 2022, a decline of almost 30 percent. Highlighting the benets of being able to shop
around, the average of the highest costs found in the corridors actually went up from 6.15 to 7.09 percent.
This was driven largely by two corridors: the US to the Dominican Republic (where the lowest cost was 4.04
percent and highest was 18.70 percent) and the US to Jamaica (where the lowest cost was 2.57 percent,
but the highest was 17.22 percent). MTOs were oering dramatically dierent pricing for some corridors
when we looked at costs in early 2022—migrant workers without the ability to check on multiple options
could have paid very high prices during this period (and some undoubtedly did).
OCT 2022The economic empowerment of digital remittances: How to unlock the benets of innovation and competition
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In light of these insights,
a few imperatives emerge
Traditional
remittances must
become digital to
continue lowering
costs
Cash is already known as the most costly way to initiate a remittance. Another huge cost barrier is that digital
remittances are still typically received in cash. According to our conversations with MTOs (and numerous public
statements by the rms), the majority of digitally initiated remittances are still ultimately picked up in cash. In Figure
5 we showed that 34 percent of remittances were digitally initiated in Q2 of 2022, but only a third of those were
digital end-to-end. To make further progress on costs, we need the number of digitally initiated remittances to grow
much higher, and we need the proportion of digitally “picked up remittances to grow as well. Aside from the many
advantages of digital pickup (which include physical safety for women, who still receive the majority of remittances),
there is a notable cost issue for remittances that become “physical” at the end of the process by being cashed out.
Traditional MTOs maintain vast networks for this cash-out capability, and digital-rst MTOs have likewise engaged
numerous third parties to facilitate transfers on the receiving end as conversion to cash. There are usually
some banks and many retail partners set up to facilitate these cash pickups, and these arrangements are quite
expensive. Based on discussions with MTOs, we believe these arrangements add 100-300 basis points of expense
to remittances picked up in cash. These costs are assumed in the business model of many of the new remittance
providers, and they do not take into account the time and eort the remittance receiver must spend on the cash
collection. Our evaluation of digital remittance costs revealed that there was usually no dierence in the cost to
remittance sender, according to the disbursement (pickup) method; these costs are often built into the overall
pricing. Because of the high costs associated with cash disbursement, and because the majority of remittances
are still picked up in cash, it stands to reason that further reductions in overall remittance costs will require digital
receipt, and this requires the digital enablement of people in the receiving countries.
Migrant workers
must be able
to compare
options and
send remittances
digitally, and their
families must be
able to then spend
the funds digitally
at businesses in
their communities
We have already seen the power of digital in delivering better transparency of options and lower costs. But
what types of eorts are needed to enable receiving families to actually use funds digitally? A recent example
is worth highlighting. Mobile money, as mentioned before, is a traditionally low-cost way of sending funds
digitally. But mobile money is not accepted at many merchant and e-commerce locations, so mobile money
users would need to cash out to make purchases in their everyday lives. The private sector is innovating and
forging key partnerships to resolve these challenges, however. As an example, in June 2022 Safaricom and Visa
introduced a new virtual card, called M-PESA GlobalPay, that enables more than 30 million customers in Kenya
to shop using their mobile money account at more than 100 million merchants across 200 countries through
Visas global network. This capability will open e-commerce opportunities for M-PESA customers and make it
easier for Kenyans traveling abroad. More detail is provided in Box 2. This is the type of partnership that will enable
remittances to stay digital from end-to-end, providing many advantages, including lower costs.
The costs associated with cash pickup are unlikely to disappear until a strong majority of remittances are digital
end-to-end. Partnerships like this—repeated many times—should be encouraged.
Visa Economic Empowerment Institute Imagining an open future for payments
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Innovation must
be facilitated by
more consistently
applied
compliance
rules and by
well-developed
standards, and
competition needs
to be promoted by
making it easier
for remittance
providers to bring
new innovations to
market
Regulatory complexities remain a challenge in cross-border payments generally, and for remittances
specically. The MTOs we have spoken with have mentioned that know your customer (KYC) requirements,
suspicious activity report (SAR) thresholds, oce of foreign asset control (OFAC) screening, and anti-money
laundering (AML) requirements are topics worthy of policymaker attention. And it appears this attention is
being given. In the FSB’s 2020 cross-border payments roadmap, Focus Area B is devoted to coordinating on
regulatory, supervisory, and oversight frameworks. There are currently ve workstreams in this focus area,
covering initiatives such as aligning regulatory frameworks for cross-border payments, applying AML and
counterterrorism nancing rules consistently, and fostering KYC and identity sharing. It is critical that the
public sector make progress in these areas, and on standards.
Standards are perhaps the unsung heroes in the history of payments. Global standards form the backbone
of the global payment system, enabling ubiquity by creating a common set of protocols and specications
that payment service providers can adopt anywhere in the world while still preserving the ability to foster
innovation. Further, global standards enable closed-loop payment systems to become open-loop systems
and remove signicant technical barriers, making it easier for new providers of payment services to connect to
the broader payment system. But standards need to be able to support rapid change, allowing innovation to
happen within the standards rather than outside of them.
Another key area requiring public-sector coordination is the licensing of new products and services. If
policymakers desire to have more players and competition in remittance corridors, then streamlining licensing
will be a key way to achieve that goal. A June joint paper from the BIS and World Bank highlighted several
licensing-related issues and noted:
Licensing processes in both send and receive countries can take between 90 days to two years to obtain
authorisation to commence operations. Documentation requirements can discourage new entrants from
submitting applications to authorities. Limited competition can result in higher remittance costs and poor
quality of service. In some markets, it can also push consumers to use unregulated channels, undermining the
integrity of the system (Ardic et al., 2022).
Making licensing easier will allow more options to come to market faster, and we have already seen how costs
are lower when there are multiple options for a corridor, and when people know about the options.
OCT 2022The economic empowerment of digital remittances: How to unlock the benets of innovation and competition
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BOX 2:
M-PESA
GlobalPay Visa
Virtual Card
Why Safaricom and Visa partnered
Enabling Global Payments: The partnership will enable M-PESA customers to
make payments for subscriptions, shopping, e-learning, and entertainment from
Visa Merchants in over 200 countries. The partnership will provide access to cards
for more than 30 million M-PESA customers in Kenya, making access to cards
easy for a lot of consumers who are not able to access traditional bank issued
debit and credit cards. M-PESA users can enable the GlobalPay Visa virtual card
directly from the M-PESA wallet app. Users click “activate and then select their
desired design for the virtual card.
Other key benets of M-PESA GlobalPay
Safe and secure payment for consumers, with increased security using
a combination of Dynamic CVV and M-PESA PIN for all transactions. The
consumer has also been empowered to disable or suspend the cards.
Convenience and transparency: Additional tools like the cost estimator
and budget control have been included to provide the consumer with
transparent cost and spend control.
Visa Economic Empowerment Institute Imagining an open future for payments
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How we unlock the benets
of remittance innovation
and competition for
everyone, everywhere
To continue the encouraging path that digital remittances are on, policymakers must focus on removing
more barriers. When it comes to enhancing payment systems and developing new cross-border
capabilities, the private sector is making signicant progress on fast and ecient global money movement.
Based on our research and analysis, the VEEI study team believes that public-sector resources would be best
allocated to the digital enablement of people and to further enabling the private sector to innovate. These
ve steps are a good place for policymakers to start:
Begin with
digital enabling
infrastructure,
if it does not
already exist
For millions of people, basic infrastructure like electricity will be a barrier to the digitization of remittances,
payments, and commerce. Beyond electricity, internet connectivity—and increasingly broadband
connectivity—will be crucial. And given that mobile phone adoption outstrips computer penetration in
many parts of the world, mobile broadband is perhaps the best answer for connectivity moving forward.
Countries with policymakers who prioritize digital infrastructure will have an advantage in this new
era. Aside from making digital remittances possible, these capabilities enable e-commerce and digital
marketplaces for small businesses, and they enable telework for many types of employees, which has
proven important during the pandemic.
Focus on digital
enablement
broadly, keeping
both consumers
and businesses
in mind
Although the digital receipt of remittances is critical for further progress on costs, we must keep in mind
that the larger goal is to digitally enable everyone, everywhere, to fully and meaningfully participate in an
increasingly digital world. Individuals need to be able to receive remittance funds digitally and then to use
them digitally, with ubiquity. This requires digitally enabling businesses, especially small businesses, helping
them accept digital payments and to connect them to digital marketplaces. Consumers and businesses
must both be part of the equation in achieving digital ubiquity, and the countries that have driven digital
ubiquity most successfully over the last decade have worked to drive adoption on both sides. Digital ID
will play a key role in digital enablement and will likewise require a dual focus: Adoption by people on one
side, and public institutions and businesses on the other, are key to overall adoption. Digital skills, for both
consumers and small businesses, will need to be part of this focus.
OCT 2022The economic empowerment of digital remittances: How to unlock the benets of innovation and competition
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Aim for an open,
interoperable
digital ecosystem
built on
resilience and
security
As policymakers strive to promote digital remittances (and digital payments), we believe that they
should adopt a principles-led and outcome-based approach, giving payment service providers and
payment networks the exibility to innovate in order to deliver against goals. Interoperability should be
favored over uniformity—more paths are better than one. Given the favorable cost trajectories of digital
remittances originated using mobile money and debit/credit instruments, which have been obtained by
innovative MTOs working with new global network capabilities, we do not believe that the public sector
needs to build new global infrastructure that could stie competition. Open competition combined
with the use of open and global technical standards drives payment innovation. A truly interoperable
service should be able to reach as many end points as possible: traditional bank accounts, prepaid
accounts, and digital wallets. Building consumer trust in the digital economy requires developing
systems, products, and services that are secure—that protect consumers’ data, money, and identity.
Only with those safeguards can consumers and businesses interact with condence. Adopting digital
security systems enables real-time vetting of fraudulent transfers, with tokens and articial intelligence
increasing the security of remittances. Alleviating fraud risk requires signicant investment in areas such
as authentication methods, behavioral biometrics, and aggregation tracking.
Streamline the
compliance
environment to
reduce cross-
border frictions
While the private sector is innovating, competing, and improving speed and eciency, policymakers
have a key role to play. Remittances and other cross-border payments go through a number of
regulatory regimes that currently add frictions. But these frictions can be reduced by streamlining and
aligning compliance rules as much as possible. This includes the development of a consistent AML
compliance framework that would improve the eciency and transparency of cross-border solutions
oered by the private sector. We therefore believe that it is critical for the public sector to address the
“regulatory, supervisory, and oversight frameworks” focus area of the FSB (2020) cross-border roadmap.
Though global coordination will no doubt be challenging, we believe progress in this focus area would
oer the greatest return on the time invested.
Simplify the
licensing
process to allow
innovation and
competition to
thrive
Policymakers can also help the private sector introduce innovations more quickly and with less burden.
The “passporting of licenses, a suggestion from the World Economic Forum in its June 2020 paper on
cross-border payments, was not directly mentioned in the FSB’s cross-border roadmap. Even increased
consistency of licensing requirements would help remittance service providers to enter and operate
across multiple markets with less friction. We believe that the private sector should prioritize creating
products that oer better customer experiences and enable more ecient transfers of money. But
the public sector can help by reducing the barriers to market entry. Currently, with vastly dierent
license requirements around the globe that need to be navigated, companies must spend large
amounts of time and money to navigate the dierent policies and requirements, and as BIS and World
Bank researchers recently noted, this process can take years (Ardic et al., 2022). Streamlining licensing
requirements and processes will help new market entrants bring the benets of digital remittances to
more corridors, and therefore to more people.
At the Visa Economic Empowerment Institute, we will continue to explore and analyze developments
in global money movement and remittances. We hope this papers insights and recommendations are
useful to policymakers and private sector partners, and we welcome continued engagement with all
stakeholders on how digital innovation can be a ywheel for upward mobility in the global economy.
OCT 2022The economic empowerment of digital remittances: How to unlock the benets of innovation and competition
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Annex 1: Foreign exchange
percentage for 2022 data sample
When a cost target of 3 percent is mentioned, the total consumer cost of the remittance is envisioned.
The cost of remittances is calculated as the simple average total cost for sending $200 or $500 (and their
equivalents) through remittance service providers, as captured by the World Bank Remittances Prices
Worldwide database. The total cost charged by a provider includes the remittance transfer fee and,
importantly, the foreign exchange rate applied by the remittance service provider.
Table 1 depicts the full matrix of corridors and costs for 2021 and 2022 data collection. The table depicts the
average of costs for all MTOs in the corridors, the lowest costs, and highest costs. These costs are inclusive of
fees and foreign exchange costs.
Figure 8 below oers more detail on foreign exchange margins for the 2022 average cost columns of the
table. For example, if a given remittance corridor had an average cost of ve percent, and the average FX fee
below is 3 percent, then the remaining 2 percent was the remittance transfer fee.
Figure 8: Average exchange rate margin in 25 corridors; debit/credit payment, for $200 and $500 remittances
Source: VEEI / DevTech Systems analysis
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Annex 2: Text descriptions
of gures and tables
Figure 1: Remittance inows for world and LMICs, 1990-2021
This line plot tracks the value of remittance inows between 1990 and 2021, with one line representing
world inows and another representing inows to LMICs. In 1990, both values stood well below $100
billion, growing slowly but steadily through 2000—aside from a minor downturn in 1996. From 2000
through 2021, the rate of growth increased signicantly. By 2021, inows to LMICs surpassed $600 billion
and world inows reached nearly $800 billion. The only downturns during this period took place in 2009
and 2016, with inows increasing only slightly between 2019 and 2020 and taking o again in 2021.
Figure 2: Year-over-year changes in remittance ows to LMICs (bars) and globally (lines), 1991-2021
This plot tracks the year-over-year percentage change in remittance inows to LMICs (represented as bars)
and globally (represented as lines). During most years, remittance inows increased—typically between 5
and 20 percent. The two largest increases took place in 1997 and 2005. In 1997, inows in both corridors
increased by approximately 40 percent, with global inows slightly outpacing LMICs. In 2005, global inows
increased by approximately 30 percent, while inows to LMICs increased by approximately 40 percent. In
1996, 2009, and 2016, inows in both corridors decreased, with the sharpest downturns taking place in
1996. In 1998, inows to LMICs decreased slightly, while global inows continued to increase.
Figure 3: Top 10 remittance receiving LMICs by raw value (2021 in bars, 2020 in points)
This plot displays the top 10 remittance receiving LMICs by raw value of inows during the years 2021
(represented as bars) and 2020 (represented as points). The countries are ordered by 2021 value. The top
recipient was India, which received over $75 billion in remittances during 2021. The next two countries—
Mexico and China—each received approximately $50 billion. The following three countries—Philippines,
Egypt, and Pakistan—each received between $25 and $50 billion. The following country—Bangladesh—
received just shy of $25 billion and the nal three—Nigeria, Vietnam, and Ukraineeach received close to
$20 billion. The rankings were similar in 2020, with China taking the number two spot over Mexico.
Figure 4: Top 10 remittance receiving LMICs as a % of GDP, 2021
This bar plot displays the top 10 remittance-receiving LMICs by percent of GDP in 2021. The top recipient
was Lebanon, with remittances making up over 50 percent of its GDP. Tonga holds the number two
spot, with remittances making up over 40 percent of its GDP. The following three countries—Tajikistan,
Kyrgyz Republic, and Samoa—receive between 30 and 40 percent of their GDP in remittances. The next
three—The Gambia, El Salvador, and Honduras—each receive between 20 and 30 percent of their GDP in
remittances. The nal two are Jamaica and South Sudan, with remittances making up approximately 20
percent of their GDP.
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Figure 5: Digital remittance trends over 25 quarters, 2016-2022
This stacked bar plot displays the percentage of world remittance payments falling into one of three
categories—traditionally initiated, digitally initiated, and digital end-to-end—between Q2 2016 and Q2
2022, by quarter. In Q2 2016, traditionally initiated remittances made up 93 percent of the total, while
digitally initiated and digital end-to-end remittances made up 4 and 3 percent, respectively. Traditional
remittances continued to make up at least 90 percent of the total until Q3 2018, when they dipped down to
88 percent. At this time, digitally initiated remittances made up 8 percent of the total and digital end-to-end
remittances made up 4 percent. Traditional remittances continued to hover above 80 percent until Q2 2021,
when they dropped signicantly to 66 percent. By this time, digitally initiated remittances had climbed to
23 percent and digital end-to-end remittances to 11 percent. As of Q2 2022, traditional remittances still
make up 66 percent of the total, white digital end-to-end payments increased slightly to 13 percent and
digitally initiated payments dipped to 21 percent.
Figure 6: Remittance cost trends; $200 remittance, Q4 2019 – Q2 2022
This line plot displays the average cost of sending a remittance payment between Q4 2019 and Q2 2022
using three metrics—the global average, digital remittances index, and global SmaRT average. The global
SmaRT average reects what savvy consumers with access to suciently complete information could pay,
constructed by taking the average of the three lowest costs in each corridor. Throughout the period, the
global average remained highest, followed by the digital remittances index, and lastly, the SmaRT average.
In Q4 2019, the global average stood just shy of 7 percent, falling down to 6 percent by Q2 2022. The digital
remittances index stood at 5.5 percent in Q4 2019, falling almost a full percentage point by Q4 2021 and
increasing slightly in the rst two quarters of 2022. The SmaRT index stood just shy of 4.5 percent in Q4
2019, falling below 3.5 percent by Q2 2022.
Table 1: VEEI/DevTech corridor analysis of $200 and $500 remittances, 2021-2022
This table displays the average, lowest, and highest costs—in percent—of sending $200 and $500
remittances in 25 corridors during 2021 and 2022. Averaged out across all 25 corridors, the average,
lowest, and highest costs of sending $200 during 2021 were 4.24 percent, 2.96 percent, and 6.15 percent,
respectively. In 2022, the average and lowest costs dipped to 3.89 and 2.08 percent, while the highest cost
rose to 7.09 percent. Generally, the cost of sending $500 is lower. In 2021, the average, lowest, and highest
costs were 3.6, 2.46, and 5.36 percent, respectively. In 2022, the average and lowest costs dipped to 3.2 and
1.72 percent, while the highest cost rose to 5.69 percent. The table also displays the number of corridors
in which the cost of sending a $200 remittance payment is below 3 percent. In 2021, only eight of the 25
corridors saw average costs of less than 3 percent, down to seven in 2022. However, 18 of the 25 corridors
saw lowest costs of less than 3 percent in 2021, increasing to 20 corridors in 2022.
Figure 7: Averages of overall costs, lowest costs, and highest costs for sending a $200 remittance
This gure contains three box and whisker plots. The rst plot displays the distribution of the average cost—
in percent—of sending a $200 remittance payment across 25 corridors during 2021 and 2022. The second
displays the distribution of the lowest cost of sending $200, while the third displays the distribution of
the highest cost. Each plot also displays the mean costs for 2021 and 2022. The means for average, lowest,
and highest costs during 2021 were 4.24 percent, 2.96 percent, and 6.15 percent, respectively. In 2022, the
average and lowest costs dipped to 3.89 and 2.08 percent, while the highest cost rose to 7.09 percent.
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Figure 8: Average exchange rate margin in 25 corridors; debit/credit payment, for $200 and
$500 remittances
This bar plot displays the average cost of foreign exchange (FX)—in percent—of sending $200
and $500 remittances in 25 corridors during 2022. The corridor with the highest FX average is New
Zealand-Samoa, with a cost of nearly 5 percent for both payment values. The corridors with the
second and third highest FX averages are USA-Dominican Republic and USA-Jamaica, respectively.
By contrast, the corridor with the lowest FX average is USA-El Salvador, with no cost whatsoever. The
corridors with the second and third lowest FX averages are UAE-Philippines and Russia-Moldova,
respectively, each with a cost of less than 0.5 percent.
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