August 2007
This publication was produced for review by the United States Agency for International
Development. It was prepared jointly by the USAID-funded TAPR II Project and the
Ministry of Trade and Industry.
Arab Republic of Egypt
Ministry of Trade & Industry
Trade Agreements & Foreign Trade Sector
The EgyptTurkey Free Trade
Agreement
Potential Economy-wide Effects
The EgyptTurkey Free Trade
Agreement
Potential Economy-wide Effects
DISCLAIMER
The authors views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of the United
States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.
Contents
Executive Summary v
1. Background to the Agreement 1
The EuroMed Context 1
Other Motivations and Benefits 2
2. Main Provisions of Agreement 5
Main Text 5
Schedules of Concessions 6
Rules of Origin 8
3. EgyptTurkey Trade and Investment 13
Trade 13
Investment 17
4. Global Analysis Using General Equilibrium Approach 19
Tariff Phase Out 19
Welfare Impacts 20
Trade and Production Impact 21
5. Trade Barriers in Turkey 31
Tariffs 31
Tariff Rate Quotas 31
Import Licences 32
Import Surveillance 35
Export Subsidies 35
Domestic Support 36
Appendix. Trade and Investment Data
II
Illustrations
Figures
Figure 3-1. Egyptian Goods Trade with Turkey, 1996-2006 14
Figure 4-1. Change in Egyptian Imports Relative to 2004 Baseline (US$ Millions) 22
Figure 4-2. Change in Egyptian Exports Relative to 2004 Baseline (US$ millions) 22
Tables
Table 2-1.Tariff Phase-out for Egyptian Imports of Industrial Products from
Turkey, 20072020 7
Table 2-2. Tariff Concession Schedule for Turkish Exports of Agricultural and
Processed Agricultural Products into Egypt 7
Table 2-3. Tariff Concession Schedule for Egyptian Exports of Agricultural and
Processed Agricultural Products into Turkey 9
Table 3-1. Trade Balance between Egypt and Turkey, 19962006 13
Table 3-2. Top 20 Egyptian Exports to Turkey in 2006 and Turkish
Pre-FTA Tariffs on Egyptian Goods 14
Table 3-3. Turkey’s MFN Tariff Schedule Summary 15
Table 3-4. Top 20 Egyptian Imports and Pre-FTA Tariffs on Turkish Goods, 2006 16
Table 3-5. Egypt’s MFN Tariff Schedule Summary 17
Table 4-1. Egyptian Phase-Out Schedule by Sector, 20072020 20
Table 4-2.Turkish Phase-Out Schedule, by Sector, 20072008 20
Table 4-3. Welfare Impacts, GDP and Income (in 2004 US$) 21
Table 4-4. Egyptian Textile and Apparel Trade as Percent of Production, 2004 24
Table 4-5. Estimated Impacts on Egyptian Textile and Apparel Production
and Trade 24
Table 4-6. Egyptian Motor Vehicles and Equipment Trade as Percent of
Production, 2004 25
Table 4-7. Estimated Impacts on Egyptian Motor Vehicle and Equipment
Production and Trade 25
Table 4-8. Weighted Average Egyptian Tariffs on Mining and Metal Products 26
Table 4-9. Egyptian Mining and Metals Trade as a Percent of Production, 2004 26
Table 4-10. Estimated Impacts on Mining and Metal Production and Trade 27
Table 4-11. Egyptian Chemical, Wood Products and Other Manufactures
Trade as Percent of Production, 2004 28
Table 4-12. Estimated Impact on Chemical, Wood Product, and Other
Manufactures’ Production and Trade 28
Table 4-13. Estimated Impacts on Egyptian Services Production and Trade 30
Table 5-1. Turkey’s Export Subsidies 35
Table 5-2. Turkey’s Market Price Supports, 2001 36
Acknowledgements
This report was made possible through the Central Department for Bilateral and Multilateral
Agreements (CD/BMA), the Trade Policy Analysis Unit (TPAU), and the USAID-funded
Technical Assistance for Policy Reform project (TAPR II). Research for the report was conducted
at the request of and under the guidance of Mr. Abdel-Rahman Fawzy, head of the Trade
Agreements and Foreign Trade Sector (TAS/FTS) at the Ministry of Trade and Industry, and Mr.
Said Abdallah, head of the CD/BMA.
The TPAU team, consisting of supervisor Abir El Anwar and team members Nermeen El Meligy,
Noha Aly, and Noha Nofal, prepared data for the report, carried out much of the analysis in the
reportincluding GTAP simulationsand was directly responsible for the discussion of trade in
Chapter 3 and for analysis reported in Chapter 4. Mr. Peter Minor, a TAPR II consultant, oversaw
data collection and analysis, and was directly responsible for Chapter 4 and parts of the Chapter 1.
Ms. Sally Shoala from CD/BMA drafted Chapters 1, 2, and 5, the investment section of Chapter 2,
and provided much of insight into the EgyptTurkey Free Trade Agreement.
The authors are very grateful to Mr. Emre Oztelli, Commercial Counselor at the Turkish Embassy
in Cairo for up to date information on Turkish investments in Egypt and to Rachid Benjelloun, a
TAPR II international trade specialist, who organized and guided report production.
For further information please contact Peter Minor at pminor@nathaninc.com, the TPAU team at
Executive Summary
The EgyptTurkey Free Trade Agreement (FTA) came into effect on March 1, 2007. The
agreement covers all goods trade, including products in chapters 1 through 97 of the Harmonized
System. The agreement provides for unlimited market access for only a few agricultural products
(chapters 124). Agreement partners have instead offered limited product level access in the form
of tariff rate quotas for selected products and agreed to discuss agricultural trade in the future.
Therefore, the agreement’s primary impact is on nonagricultural products in chapters 25-97, with
the exception of certain processed agricultural goods that appear in those chapters. Services trade
will be discussed in future bilateral meetings, taking into account international developments and
progress in the WTO negotiations.
Turkey is to implement its commitments as soon as the agreement comes into effect. Egypt is
provided 12 years to phase out its tariffs for its most sensitive industrial products, with graduated
and briefer phase-outs for other industrial products.
The impacts of the Egypt-Turkey FTA are expected to be modest, adding about 1/10
th
of one
percent to total economic welfare in Egypt. Trade between the two countries has been expanding
from relatively low levels and can be expected to grow as a result of trade liberalization under this
agreement. Egyptian imports from Turkey are expected to increase as a result of the full
implementation of the trade agreement in 2020 by nearly US$ 500 million in 2004 constant dollar
terms. This would equal a doubling of Egyptian imports from Turkey relative to 2004 trade.
However, the rise in Egyptian imports from Turkey will largely come from a decrease in Egypt’s
imports from other countries, resulting in a net total increase in Egyptian imports of US$ 100
million. The trade diversion effect dominates much of Egypt’s trade impacts resulting from the
FTA. Egyptian exports to Turkey are expected to rise by less than US$ 50 million annually but
will be matched by a similar increase in Egyptian exports to other countries.
When tariffs on motor vehicles are eliminated, the Egyptian sector will only be modestly affected
by an expected rise in Turkish imports. Even so, Turkey’s gain will result primarily from trade
diversion and a movement in Egypt away from motor vehicle imports from the rest of the world.
The more significant effects on the mining, minerals, and metals sector will be mitigated by the
fact that current imports from Turkey are less than 1 percent of Egyptian production. The overall
effect of the FTA on the chemical, wood product, and manufactures sector will be less than one
percent of Egyptian production for these products.
Gains in Egypt’s textiles and apparel imports and exports are expected to be modesta rise in
domestic production of less than 1 percent when the agreement is fully in force in 2020. Gains in
services trade will be an indirect result of tariff reductions in agricultural and nonagricultural
goods, with construction and transportation and communication experiencing by far the greatest
gains. The FTA’s impact on Egypt’s energy sectors is expected to be negligible.
VI E GYPT T U R K E Y F TA
Although the FTA will have only modest impacts, it offers opportunities for significant gains in
the future, particularly in agricultural trade. Indeed, current Egyptian tariffs on agricultural imports
from Turkey (6.5 percent on a weighted average basis) are significantly lower than Turkey’s tariffs
on agricultural imports from Egypt (37.1 percent). To ensure that trade benefits are captured,
however, Egyptian operators must be instructed in the agreement’s provisions and the demands
and regulatory requirements of the Turkish market.
The extent to which the agreement will be able to remove nontariff barriers (NTBs) is not clear.
The report outlines some known NTBs in Turkey (pre-FTA) and we will, as the agreement is
implemented, report on whether such NTBs are being reduced and what their effect is on Egyptian
exports. The joint committee set up by the agreement is expected to play a major role in resolving
issues related to NTBs and in ensuring a smooth implementation of FTA rules and provisions.
In the past few years, inward investment has increased substantially as a result of these and other
FTAs signed by Egypt. Though investment in Egypt is still impeded by institutional and other
constraintsregional political instability, bureaucracy, and shortages in skilled labor in certain
sectorsrecent policy reforms contributed to a fifteen-fold increase in foreign direct investment
from 2001 to 2006: FDI reached US$9 billion in the first three quarters of Egypt’s 2007 fiscal
year, compared with US$6.1 billion for all of 2006. On July 11, 2007, Egypt became the first Arab
and first African country to sign the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
(OECD) Declaration on International Investment and Multinational Enterprises. With this
promising development, the positive impact of the EgyptTurkey FTA on investment could easily
surpass its impact on trade.
1. Background to the Agreement
Egypt and Turkey began the first of six rounds of trade negotiations in 1998, signing a final draft
of the EgyptTurkey Free Trade Agreement on December 27, 2005. The ratified FTA came into
effect on March 1, 2007 in a context governed by the Euro-Med process.
THE EUROMED CONTEXT
In November 1995, European and Mediterranean countries signed the Barcelona Declaration,
agreeing to establish a free trade area by 2010 and
regional as well as bilateral partnerships on trade,
economic, and security matters. Thus, in 2001, Egypt
and the EU signed the Egypt-EU Association
Agreement, providing each reciprocal market access
in industrial and selected agricultural products; and
Egypt and Turkey recently signed their own FTA. In
addition, trade between the EU and Turkey is
governed by a Customs Union, and Turkey is seeking
to become a full member of the EU.
In part, bilateral trade agreements within the context
of the EuroMed partnerships, such as that between
Egypt and Turkey, are motivated by Pan-Euro Med
rules of origin that permit three-way or diagonal
cumulation. Most agreements provide for two-way or
bilateral cumulation, which permits the reciprocal use
of inputs from countries party to an agreement.
Diagonal cumulation allows partners to count inputs
of third-partiescountries not party to an
agreementin meeting the rule of origin. Thus, Egypt
may use inputs from Turkey in its exports to the EU
and still retain market access benefits under the
EgyptEU Association Agreement. Likewise, Turkey
may use inputs from Egypt and still claim duty free
access to the EU.
In this manner, Pan-Euro Med rules of origin enable a regionwide market that goes beyond simple
bilateral trade flows, leveraging the industrial infrastructure of neighboring countries and others in
the region. To participate in diagonal cumulation with the EU, partners must (1) have concluded an
FTA with the EU and with each other, though the agreements need not be identical; (2) follow
Egypt-Turkey FTA and the Egypt-EU
Association Agreement
Many aspects of the Egypt-Turkey FTA
resemble the EgyptEU Association
Agreement, with entire sections adopted
from it. Its rules of origin are identical to
those governing each country’s agreements
with the EU (e.g., the ―one list‖ is included),
allowing them both to benefit from Pan-Euro
Med rules of origin. In addition, the tariff
phase period out for Egypt’s nonagricultural
goods is nearly identical to that granted to
Egypt by the EU in recognition of Egypt’s
developing country status. The Association
Agreement specifies four categories of
goods at the product level, delineating a
phase-out period of 3 years, 9 years, 12
years, and 15 years. These schedules have
been largely incorporated, and on a product-
specific basis, into the Egypt-Turkey FTA
with specified years2008, 2014, 2017, and
2020to phase out tariffs on the four
categories of goods. (The only differences
between the Egypt-EU and Egypt-Turkey
agreement lists are three HS codes related
to electrical engines and generators, which
were moved from the third to the fourth list.)
2 E GYPT T U R K E Y F TA
identical rules of origin in the cumulation process; and (3) notify the EU of intent to cumulate with
other free trade partners, and obtain EU approval.
Although these rules of cumulation offer more trade opportunities, seizing these opportunities will
require that Egypt and its partners implement a regional integration strategy. Diagonal cumulation
provisions will provide benefits only to the extent that governments and industry take the final
steps. Egypt and Turkey have significant work ahead to leverage the full advantages of the Pan-
Euro Med rules of origin. These include the following:
Raising producers’ awareness of the advantages and documentation requirements of diagonal
cumulation.
Improving customs cooperation between partner countries.
Reducing nontariff barriers by simplifying standards and testing rules and procedures.
Spreading knowledge of regional materials and sourcing.
Standardizing and automating verification procedures, including certificates of origin.
Enabling local legislation and regulations to encourage investment in new cost-competitive
capacities.
Should Egypt choose not to pursue a regional strategy, industries and governments in neighboring
countries might still very well do so themselves. If so, Egypt’s exports to the EU would face
heightened competition as other preferential suppliers in the Pan-Euro Med area gain from
productivity and specialization efficiencies (costs, services, and quality) and new investments.
Exhibit 1-1. Rules of Origin: The Fine Print of Trade Agreements
Rules of origin are a pivotal part of preferential trade
arrangements and agreements in restricting the use of
inputs used in goods. In apparel trade, for example, EU
rules of origin require double or triple transformation
necessitating the spinning, knitting, weaving, dyeing,
finishing, and making up of garments by the parties to the
agreement. Similarly, to be eligible for preferential
treatment fabrics and yarns must consist of fibers that
originate from the parties to the agreement. Many
exceptions exist, reflecting diverse industrial production
processes. The EU maintains a ―One List‖ of
requirements. Rules of origin are not limited to textiles
and apparel and are often significant in any good with
multiple levels of value added, such as autos or
machinery and equipment manufactures.
Many producers face difficulty meeting rules of origin so
the actual benefits of preferential access vary by country
and product. Egyptian apparel producers interviewed in
2003 indicated that many do not benefit much from
arrangements with the EU because they use cheaper,
higher quality imported yarns and fabrics in their
exported apparel rather than inputs from the EU.
Rules of origin can hinder Egypt’s indirect exports to
the EU. If Turkey wanted to claim preferential access
for its apparel destined for the EU, it would generally be
prohibited from buying Egyptian yarns and fabrics. But
now that Egypt and Turkey implemented the
requirements of the Pan-Euro Med Protocol of Origin,
Egypt’s fabrics and yarns could receive indirect market
access to the EU (assuming Egypt’s products were
competitively priced and met quality standards). And
Turkish fabrics and yarns could be converted to apparel
in Egypt, which would enjoy relief from duties when
they are shipped to the EU.
OTHER MOTIVATIONS AND BENEFITS
In addition to the obligation of the Barcelona Declaration, the EgyptTurkey FTA was motivated
by a number of factors. The FTA not only provides Egyptian industrial exports with total and
immediate free access to the large Turkish market, but also facilitates access to the EU market.
B A C K G R O U N D T O T H E AG R E E M E N T 3
Egyptian exporters face stiff challenges in accessing that market even with the EgyptEU
Partnership Agreement. The EgyptTurkey FTA is expected to help exporters meet the EU’s strict
regulations and standards by integrating Turkish and Egyptian industries and by enabling Egyptian
exporters to benefit from Turkey’s experience in the EU. Just as important, the FTA is expected to
increase confidence in the Egyptian economy and further position it as a hub to other African,
European, and Arab countries. It is expected to generate substantial investments in Egypt and
Turkey, which will help generate additional employment opportunities in the two countries. And
most generally, the heightened competition of freer trade usually boots productivity and improves
standards of living.
In Chapter 2 we summarize the main provisions of the EgyptTurkey FTA. Chapter 3 describes
trade and investment between Egypt and Turkey. Chapter 4 describes the potential economy-wide
impact of the FTA on Egypts economy, covering exports and imports, employment, and overall
welfare, using the GTAP Computable General Equilibrium Model. It also examines the FTA’s
impact on specific sectors. The report concludes by examining trade barriers facing Egyptian
exporters in the Turkish market (Chapter 5).
2. Main Provisions of Agreement
The EgyptTurkey FTA has four major components: the main text, Protocol I, Protocol II, and
Protocol III. Protocol I relates to the abolition of customs duties and charges having equivalent
effect on imports between Egypt and Turkey. Protocol II relates to the exchange of concessions in
basic agricultural, processed agricultural, and fishery products between Egypt and Turkey.
Protocol III relates to the definition of the originating products and methods of administrative
co-operation. The full text of the agreement, including attachments, can be accessed through the
Trade Agreements Sector website (http://www.tas.gov.eg/English/Trade%20Agreements/
Countries%20and%20Regions/Europe/turkey).
MAIN TEXT
The main text of the Agreement consists of 39 articles. Its key provisions include the following:
Articles 4 and 6 abolishes Customs duties and charges having equivalent effect on imports,
and all quantitative restrictions on imports and measures having equivalent effect in
accordance with the provisions of the Agreement, and stipulates that no new measures on
imports may be introduced and that those already applied may not be increased in trade
between the parties.
Articles 7 and 8 abolishes customs duties and charges having equivalent effect on exports, and
all quantitative restrictions on imports and measures having equivalent effect in accordance
with the provisions of the Agreement, and stipulates that no new measures whatsoever on
exports may be introduced, and that those already applied may not be increased in trade
between the parties.
Article 20 lays down the system of Pan-Euro-Med cumulation of origin, which governs the
application of the harmonized preferential rules of origin between the two countries.
Article 23 governs the rights and obligations of the parties with respect to subsidies to be
administered by Articles VI and XVI of the GATT 1994, the WTO Agreement on Subsidies
and Countervailing Measures, and the WTO Agreement on Agriculture.
Article 28 outlines means of promoting investment and technology flows between the two
countries to achieve economic growth and development.
Article 29 establishes a framework for achieving gradual liberalization in trade in services in
accordance with the provisions of the WTO General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS).
Articles that outline preventive and defensive measures include the following:
Article 14 allows Egypt to take exceptional measures to protect infant industries or sectors that
face difficulties in the form of increased customs duties. In this case Customs duties applicable
on imports from Turkey into Egypt may not exceed 25 percent ad valorem and must maintain
an element of preference for products originating in Turkey. The total value of imports of
6 E GYPT T U R K E Y F TA
products subject to these measures may not exceed 20 percent of total imports of industrial
products from Turkey, as defined in Article 3, during the last year for which statistics are
available. These measures can be applied for a period not exceeding five years.
Articles 15 and 16 allow parties to take measures against dumping or to apply safeguard
measures in accordance with WTO Agreements.
Article 17 allows both parties to take measures in case of serious shortage in an essential
product to the exporting country that leads to serious difficulties.
Article 19 allows either party to take measures in case of balance of payments difficulties in
accordance with relevant WTO and IMF articles.
Through Articles 30 and 31, the FTA establishes an EgyptianTurkish Joint Committee with
representatives to administer the FTA, resolving problems arising during implementation and
discussing the possibility of further concessions.
SCHEDULES OF CONCESSIONS
Protocols I and II attached to the main text provide the schedules of concessions. Protocol I covers
the abolition of customs duties and charges having equivalent effect on imports between Egypt and
Turkey; Protocol II covers the exchange of concessions in basic agricultural, processed
agricultural, and fishery products.
Industrial Products
Industrial products (HS 25 to HS 97) are treated in accordance with Protocol I. One part covers
Egypt’s exports to Turkey and the other covers Egypt’s imports from Turkey. Industrial products
originating in Egypt shall enjoy an immediate removal of all customs duties and other charges
having equivalent effect, when the FTA enters into force. Therefore, all Egyptian exports of
industrial products will enjoy free access to Turkey.
1
Customs duties on industrial products
originating in Turkey shall be gradually abolished according to the four lists attached to the
protocol.
List 1 covers raw materials that are important as inputs for most industries. This list enjoys 75
percent reduction from the Most Favored Nation (i.e. non-preferential) duty from the day of
entry into force of the agreement. Products on the list will enter Egypt duty-free in the second
year of entry into force of the agreement (i.e., 2008). The list consists of about 2,070 HS tariff
lines, including aluminum ores, sodium chloride, sulphur, wood, parts of machines, aluminum
oxide, and copper alloys. Egypt’s MFN duties on those products are 0, 2, 5, or 10 percent.
List 2 covers intermediate goods. Tariff phase-out for these products will start in 2008.
Egyptian imports will enjoy duty-free access starting in 2014.The list consists of about 1,204
HS tariff lines, including carbon, chemical preparations, papers, glasses fibers, tubes and
pipes of vulcanized rubber, insecticides, and vacuum flask. Egypt’s MFN duties on those
products are 2, 5, 10, 20, or 30 percent.
List 3 covers final goods for which tariff phase-out will begin in 2010 and end with complete
liberalization in 2017. The list consists of nearly 1,650 HS lines, including apparel, textiles,
1
Products in Annex I of the FTA are treated as agricultural or processed agricultural products and are not
considered industrial products even though some are classified between chapters 25 and 97 of the HS.
M AIN P R O V I S I O N S 7
shoes, iron and steel, and electrical equipments and machines. Egypt’s MFN duties on those
products are 2, 5, 10, 20, or 30 percent.
List 4 includes mainly vehicles and some electrical engines and generators. Tariff phase-out
will occur from 2011 to 2020. The list includes only 23 HS lines. Egypt’s MFN duties on those
products are 10, 30, 40, or 135 percent.
Tariff reductions for Egyptian imports are summarized in Table 2-1.
Table 2-1.Tariff Phase-out for Egyptian Imports of Industrial Products from
Turkey, 20072020
List
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
1
75%
100%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
2
-
10%
25%
40%
55%
70%
85%
100%
3
-
-
-
5%
10%
25%
40%
55%
70%
85%
100%
4
-
-
-
-
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Agricultural, Processed Agricultural, and Fishery Products
Concessions on agricultural, processed agricultural, and fishery products are outlined in Protocol
II. The two parties have agreed to grant each other concessions either as tariff rate quotas (TRQs)
or tariff reductions on agricultural, processed agricultural, and fishery products. The two parties
exchanged the same concessions on processed agricultural products.
Protocol II has two tables of concessions. Table A includes agricultural and processed agricultural
products originating in Turkey that will be subject to TRQs and/or reduced duties when exported
to Egypt. Table B includes agricultural, processed agricultural, and fishery products originating in
Egypt that face TRQs and/or reduced duties when exported to Turkey. Thus, Egyptian exports of
agricultural products have better market access opportunities into the Turkish market than Turkish
exports of similar products into the Egyptian market. Moreover, Egyptian fishery exports, except
HS 0301, face a 50 percent MFN duty reduction when entering the Turkish market, while some
live plants will access the Turkish market on a duty-free basis. Although limited, the products
listed in Tables A and B (Tables 2-2 and 2-3) are important for both countries. Nevertheless, the
two countries may discuss expanding those concessions at a later date through the joint committee.
Table 2-2. Tariff Concession Schedule for Turkish Exports of Agricultural and
Processed Agricultural Products into Egypt
CN Code
Product Description
Quantities (tons)
Tariff Reduction
from MFN Duties (%)
0802.21
Hazelnuts or filberts (Corylus spp)
2,000
100
0802.22
0804.20
Figs
500
100
0809.20
Cherries (including sour cherries)
500
100
0813.10
Dried apricots
500
100
1507.90.91
Soya-bean oil, semi-refined in bulk
10,000
100
1512.11
Crude sunflower or safflower oil
20,000
100
1512.19.91
Sunflower seed oil, semi-refined in bulk
8 E GYPT T U R K E Y F TA
CN Code
Product Description
Quantities (tons)
Tariff Reduction
from MFN Duties (%)
1515.21
Crude maize (corn) oil and its fractions
10,000
100
1517
Margarine; edible mixtures or preparations of animal or
vegetable fats or oils or of fractions of different fats or oils
of this chapter, other than edible fats or oils or their
fractions of heading 1516
1,000
100
1704
Sugar confectionery (including white chocolate), not
containing cocoa
2,000
15
1806
Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa
1,000
15
1902
Pasta, whether or not cooked or stuffed (with meat or
other substances) or otherwise prepared, such as spaghetti,
macaroni, noodles, lasagna, gnocchi, ravioli, cannelloni;
couscous, whether or not prepared
1,000
15
1905
Bread, pastry, cakes, biscuits and other bakers’ wares,
whether or not containing cocoa; communion wafers,
empty cachets of a kind suitable for pharmaceutical use,
sealing wafers, rice paper and similar products
1,000
15
2001.10
Cucumber and gherkins, prepared or preserved by vinegar
or acetic acid
1,000
15
2008
Fruit, nuts and other edible parts of plants, otherwise
prepared or preserved, whether or not containing added
sugar or other sweetening matter or spirit, not elsewhere
specified or included
500
15
2009
Fruit juices (including grape must) and vegetable juices,
unfermented and not containing added spirit, whether or
not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter
500
15
2102.10
Active yeasts
3,000
15
RULES OF ORIGIN
Protocol III outlines the rules of origin under the FTA. Both parties will apply the Pan-Euro-Med
rules of origin, which allow goods produced from materials originating in any Euro-Med countries
to enter the EU market with preferences. As the EgyptTurkey FTA enters into force, Egypt and
Turkey can benefit from cumulation of origin under the Pan-Euro-Med rules of origin, establishing
originating integrated industries and exporting resulting goods into the EU. These cumulation
opportunities will likely expand with the entry into force of other Agreements by both Egypt and
Turkey with other Euro-Med countries under the auspices of the Barcelona Declaration.
2
Definition of Originating Products
Protocol III of the EgyptTurkey FTA defines originating products as products that are either
wholly obtained in Egypt within the meaning of Article 5 or ―products obtained in Egypt
incorporating materials which have not been wholly obtained there, provided that such materials
have undergone sufficient working or processing in Egypt within the meaning of Article 6.‖ The
definition of these "sufficient" operations is presented in Annex II. The annex contains a complete
list of operations that are considered as conferring origin to a non-originating raw material for all
2
Since the Pan-Euro-Med Rules of Origin are quite complex, we encourage interested readers to read
Protocol III at http://www.tas.gov.eg/English/Trade%20Agreements/Countries%20and%20Regions/
Europe/turkey
M AIN P R O V I S I O N S 9
Table 2-3. Tariff Concession Schedule for Egyptian Exports of Agricultural and
Processed Agricultural Products into Turkey
CN
Code
Product
Quantities (tons)
Tariff Reduction
from MFN Duties (%)
Chap. 3
Fish and crustaceans, molluscs and other aquatic invertebrates
(excl. 0301)
Unlimited
50
0602
Other live plants (including their roots), cuttings and slips;
mushroom spawn (excl. 0602.90.91, 99)
Unlimited
100
0603
Cut flowers and flower buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or
for ornamental purposes, fresh, dried, dyed, bleached,
impregnated or otherwise prepared
15
100
0701.90
Other potatoes, fresh or chilled
400
100
0703.20
Garlic, fresh or chilled
100
100
0705
Lettuce (Lactuca sativa) and chicory (Cichorium spp.), fresh or
chilled
600
100
0706
Carrots, turnips, salad beetroot, salsify, celeriac, radishes and
similar edible roots, fresh or chilled
0709
Other vegetables, fresh or chilled (excl. 0709.90.31, 39)
0710
Vegetables (uncooked or cooked by steaming or boiling in
water), frozen (excl. 0710.80.10)
0711
Vegetables provisionally preserved (for example, by sulphur
dioxide gas, in brine, in sulphur water or in other preservative
solutions), but unsuitable in that state for immediate
consumption (excl. 0711.20, 40)
0712
Dried vegetables, whole, cut, sliced, broken or
in powder, but not further prepared
0804.10
Dates, fresh or dried
5000
100
0804.50
Guavas, mangoes and mangosteens, fresh or dried
1000
100
0810.10
Strawberries, fresh
200
100
0909
Seeds of anise, badian, fennel, coriander, cumin or caraway;
juniper berries
100
100
0910
Ginger, saffron, turmeric (curcuma), thyme,
bay leaves, curry and other spices
100
100
1006.20
Husked (brown) rice
30000
100
1006.30
Semi-milled or wholly milled rice, whether or not polished or
glazed
10000
50
1202
Groundnuts, not roasted or otherwise cooked
500
100
1704
Sugar confectionery (including white chocolate), not containing
cocoa
2000
15
1806
Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa
1000
15
1902
Pasta, whether or not cooked or stuffed (with meat or other
substances) or otherwise prepared, such as spaghetti, macaroni,
noodles, lasagne, gnocchi, ravioli, cannelloni; couscous, whether
or not prepared
1000
15
1905
Bread, pastry, cakes, biscuits and other bakers’ wares, whether
or not containing cocoa; communion wafers, empty cachets of a
kind suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice paper
and similar products
1000
15
2001.10
Cucumber and gherkins, prepared or preserved by vinegar or
acetic acid
1000
15
2008
Fruit, nuts and other edible parts of plants, otherwise prepared or
preserved, whether or not containing added sugar or other
sweetening matter or spirit, not elsewhere specified or included
500
15
2009
Fruit juices (including grape must) and vegetable juices,
unfermented and not containing added spirit
500
15
2102.10
Active yeasts
3000
15
10 E GYPT T U R K E Y F TA
products. Those operations might involve one or a combination of the following types of criteria:
A minimum percentage of value-added that has taken place in Egypt
A specific process that must have taken place in Egypt
Restrictions stating that specific inputs must be wholly obtained in Egypt
Change of tariff heading.
Cumulation Concept
In the context of the Pan-Euro-Med zone, cumulation means that
products that have obtained originating status in one partner country may be used with
products originating in another partner country without prejudice to the preferential
status of the finished product. In the case of cumulation the working or processing
carried out in each partner country on originating products does not have to be
’sufficient working or processing’ within the meaning of Article 6 in order to confer
on the finished product, the origin of the partner country but it must go beyond the
minimal operations in Article 7.
3
As indicated earlier, in bilateral cumulation materials are imported from a country to which the
finished product will be exported (e.g. Turkish materials processed in Egypt for export to Turkey).
But with diagonal cumulation, materials are imported from a country other than the country to
which the finished product will be exported (e.g., Turkish materials processed in Egypt for export
to the EU).
No Draw Back Rule
In the Pan-Euro-Med zone drawback is generally prohibited in diagonal trade. Article 15 in
Protocol III of the EgyptTurkey FTA provides that non-originating materials used in the
manufacture of products originating in Turkey, Egypt, or in one of the other Euro-Med zone
countries cannot be subject in Egypt or in Turkey to drawback when those manufactured products
are destined for export to the zone. However, Egypt and Turkey may, except for products falling
within HS Chapters 1 to 24, benefit from drawback until December 31, 2009 subject to the
following provisions:
A 5 percent rate of customs charge shall be retained in respect of products falling within
Chapters 25 to 49 and 64 to 97 of the Harmonized System, or such lower rate as is in force in
Egypt or Turkey;
A 10 percent rate of customs charge shall be retained in respect of products falling within
Chapters 50 to 63 of the Harmonized System, or such lower rate as is in force in Egypt or
Turkey.
4
Thus, the protocol allows Egyptian exporters to benefit from drawback in purely bilateral trade
between Egypt and Turkey (until 2009 and not including HS chapters 1-24). In diagonal trade the
Egyptian exporters may apply for preferential proof of origin and pay duties on imported parts or
they may not apply for preferential proof of origin and benefit from drawback on imported parts.
The decision depends on the preferential margin on the exported product and the rate of duty on
imported materials.
3
A User's Handbook to the Rules of Preferential Origin used in trade between the European Community,
other European Countries and the countries participating to the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership, p 10.
4
Egypt-Turkey Free Trade Agreement, Protocol III, Article 15, paragraph 7.
M AIN P R O V I S I O N S 11
Proof of Origin
To benefit from tariff concessions granted in preferential agreements, products must be originating
and exporters must have proof of origin. To enable operators to fully benefit from the system it is
necessary to submit either a movement certificate EUR.1; a movement certificate EUR-MED; or
an invoice declaration given by the exporter on an invoice, a delivery note, or any other
commercial document that describes products in sufficient detail to enable identification. An
invoice declaration may be made out by an approved exporter or by any exporter for any
consignment consisting of one or more packages containing originating products whose total value
does not exceed EUR 6,000.
3. EgyptTurkey Trade and
Investment
TRADE
Egypt’s trade with Turkey was on an upward if fluctuating trend even before the FTA took effect.
In 2006, Egyptian exports to Turkey had more than tripled since 1996 and imports rose by slightly
less than 50 percent during the same period.
Egypt’s trade with Turkey accounts for 2.6 percent of Egyptian goods exports and 2 percent of
imports. In 2006, exports to Turkey amounted to $363 million, making Turkey the eleventh largest
market for Egyptian exports. Also in 2006, Egyptian imports from Turkey were valued at $367
million, making Turkey Egypt’s fifteenth largest supplier. Egypt’s trade deficit with Turkey
widened from 1998 through 2002, largely because of increased imports from Turkey, then
narrowed substantially in 2003 and 2004 as Egyptian exports increased. In 2005 the deficit again
widened, and, then, in 2006 narrowed dramatically, an improvement that was due mainly to
increased imports of machinery, petroleum oils, motor cars, and iron and steel products (Table 3-
1).
Table 3-1. Trade Balance between Egypt and Turkey, 19962006
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Exports to
Turkey
115
97
118
97
85
78
78
144
235
334
362
Change from
1996
100%
84%
102%
84%
74%
67%
67%
125%
204%
290%
313%
Imports from
Turkey
253
174
489
358
202
247
223
178
246
623
391
Change from
1996
100%
69%
193%
141%
80%
98%
88%
70%
97%
246%
155%
Trade Balance
-138
-78
-371
-261
-117
-170
-145
-34
-11
-289
-29
Change from
1996
100%
43%
-169%
-89%
15%
-23%
-5%
75%
92%
-109%
79%
SOURCE: CAPMAS.
Exports
Egyptian exports to Turkey increased over the last three years (Figure 3-1). The top 20 Egyptian
exports to Turkey in 2006 are depicted in Table 3-2, with petroleum oils ranking at the top of the
list with $153 million. Other top Egyptian exports to Turkey consisted mainly of industrial goods
including chemicals, textiles, steel, and cement. Rice is the only agricultural product (within the
agreement definition) on that list with exports to Turkey valued at $39 million. Thirteen percent of
Egyptian rice is exported to Turkey.
14 E GYPT T U R K E Y F TA
Figure 3-1. Egyptian Goods Trade with Turkey, 1996-2006
The top 20 Egyptian exports to Turkey accounted for 87 percent of Egyptian exports to Turkey in
2006. Sixty-seven percent of these exports entered the Turkish market on a duty-free basis.
Egyptian chemicals exports to Turkey represented a substantial share21 percentof all Egyptian
chemicals exports, with the vast majority of Egypt’s exports of polyvinyl chloride (64 percent),
sodium hydroxide (81 percent), and sodium hydroxide in aqueous solution (71 percent) destined
for the Turkish market.
Table 3-2. Top 20 Egyptian Exports to Turkey in 2006 and Turkish Pre-FTA
Tariffs on Egyptian Goods
HS
Subheading
Description
To Turkey
(US$ millions
To World
(US$
millions)
Turkey
Share
(%)
Turkish Pre-
FTA Tariff
(%)
271000
Petroleum oils and oils obtained from
bituminous minerals, other than crude
153.2
3604.8
4%
Free
100630
Semi-milled or wholly milled rice,
whether or not polished or glazed
38.7
287.4
13%
45%
270400
Coke and semi-coke of coal, of lignite
or of peat
21.2
43.4
49
Free
390410
Polyvinyl chloride, not mixed with any
other substances
19.0
29.6
64
3
390110
Polyethylene having a specific gravity
of less than 0.94
13.7
203.8
7
3
390490
Other: Polymers of vinyl chloride or of
other halogenated olefins, in primary
forms.
7.9
23.2
34
281511
Sodium hydroxide (caustic soda)- solid
7.5
9.2
81
1.9
252310
Cement clinkers
6.9
81.2
9
Free
520100
Cotton not carded or combed.
6.5
117.5
6
Free
283429
Other: Nitrites; nitrates.
6.1
16.1
38
Free
T R A D E A N D I N V E S T M E N T 15
HS
Subheading
Description
To Turkey
(US$ millions
To World
(US$
millions)
Turkey
Share
(%)
Turkish Pre-
FTA Tariff
(%)
281410
Ammonia anhydrous ammonia
5.0
12.6
40
Free
281512
Sodium Hydroxide in aqueous
solution (soda lye or liquid soda)
5.0
7.0
71
1.9
390190
Other: Polymers of ethylene, in
primary forms.
4.4
30.4
15
Free
271290
Other: Petroleum jelly
4.2
76.9
5
Free
720824
Flat-rolled products of iron or non-
alloy steel
3.5
24.4
14
5
721911
Flat-rolled products of stainless steel of
a thickness exceeding 10 mm
2.7
207.0
1
2
310230
Ammonium nitrate, whether or not in
aqueous solution
2.4
9.1
27
6.5
250590
Other: Natural sands of all kinds,
whether or not colored, other than
metal-bearing sands of Chapter 26.
2.3
7.0
34
Free
520542
Cotton sewing thread, whether or not
put up for retail sale.
2.3
31.6
7
3.2
281420
Ammonia in aqueous solution
2.3
7.5
31
Free
SOURCE: CAPMAS, Turkish tariff schedule (www.gumruk.gov.tr), and TPAU analysis.
Table 3-3 summarizes Turkey’s Most-Favored Nation (MFN) tariff schedule. These are the tariff
rates that Egyptian goods faced in Turkey before the FTA. More than 85 percent of Turkey’s MFN
tariff lines have duties between zero and 10 percent, with nearly 60 percent of Turkey’s tariff lines
having duty-free status. Only 14 percent of Turkey’s MFN tariff lines have duties exceeding 10
percent.
Table 3-3. Turkey’s MFN Tariff Schedule Summary
Tariff Base Rate (%)
Number of Tariff Lines
Percent of Total Tariff Lines
0
6,837
58.4
>0 to 10
3,241
27.7
>10 to 20
393
3.4
>20 to 35
149
1.3
>35 to 50
197
1.7
>50 to 65
379
3.2
>65
502
4.3
Total
11,698
100
SOURCE: Turkey’s 2007 MFN Tariff Schedule from Turkish Customs website (www.gumruk.gov.tr), and TPAU analysis.
Imports
Egyptian imports of goods from Turkey reached $367 million in 2006, making Turkey Egypt’s
fifteenth largest merchandise supplier with 2 percent market share of the nearly $21 billion
Egyptian import market. Slightly more than 40 percent (by value) of the top 20 Egyptian imports
from Turkey entered the Egyptian market duty free.
Table 3-4 shows the top 20 Egyptian imports of goods from Turkey in 2006, with petroleum oils
ranking first in value($70.5 million) and semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel ranked
16 E GYPT T U R K E Y F TA
second ($47 million). Other top imports from Turkey included textiles, including woven fabric and
cotton yarn, which account for 70 percent and 62 percent, respectively, of total Egyptian imports
of those products.
Egypt’s agricultural imports from Turkey, including durum wheat, lentils, broad beans and horse
beans and hazelnuts or filberts, accounted for 18 percent (by value) of Egypt’s top 20 imports from
Turkey. Most of these products entered the Egyptian market duty-free.
Table 3-4. Top 20 Egyptian Imports and Pre-FTA Tariffs on Turkish Goods, 2006
HS
Subheading
Description
From Turkey
(US%
millions)
From World
(US$
millions)
Turkey
Share
(%)
Egypt Pre-
FTA Tariff
(%)
2710.00
Petroleum oils and oils obtained from
bituminous minerals, other than crude
70.5
1239.0
6
3.5*
7207.19
Other: Semi-finished products of iron or non-
alloy steel.
46.8
502.9
9
Free
5501.30
Woven fabrics of synthetic staple fibers,
containing less than 85% by weight of such
fibers, mixed mainly or solely with cotton, of a
weight not exceeding 170 g/m2.
17.5
25.1
70
10
1001.10
Durum wheat
16.0
964.3
2
Free
0713.40
Lentils
11.0
34.1
32
Free
0713.50
Broad beans and horse beans
8.3
113.1
7
Free
8708.99
Containers
7.4
178.8
4
10
8485.90
Other: Machinery parts
5.9
104.6
6
20
5503.30
Synthetic staple fibers Acrylic or modacrylic
5.9
7.6
77
Free
7612.90
Other: Aluminum casks, drums, cans, boxes and
similar containers
5.0
10.2
49
20
8479.89
Other: Machines and mechanical appliances
having individual functions, not specified or
included elsewhere in this Chapter.
4.9
125.3
4
Free
2401.10
Tobacco, not stemmed/stripped
4.9
164.7
3
L.E 6.1 / net Kg
5402.49
Synthetic filament yarn: other Partially oriented
(p. o. y)
4.6
75.3
6
Free
7228.30
Other bars and rods, not further worked than
hot-rolled, hot-drawn or extruded
4.2
10.1
41
5
4408.90
Other: Sheets for veneering
4.1
15.1
27
5
5205.22
Cotton yarn Measuring less than 192.31 decitex
but not less than 125 decitex
3.9
6.2
62
5
4011.10
New pneumatic tyres, of rubber of a kind used
on motor cars
3.7
40.1
9
20
3906.90
Other: Acrylic polymers in primary forms.
3.7
15.8
23
2
4011.20
New pneumatic tyres, of rubber of a kind used
on buses or lorries
3.6
62.7
6
10
5205.15
Cotton yarn Measuring less than 125 decitex
(exceeding 80 metric number)
2.9
31.6
9
5
0802.22
Hazelnuts or filberts (Corylus spp.). Shelled.
70.5
1239.0
98
5
Average tariff applied to 27.10
SOURCE: CAPMAS , Egyptian tariff schedule, and TPAU analysis
T R A D E A N D I N V E S T M E N T 17
Table 3-5 summarizes Egypt’s MFN tariff schedule, which was issued in February 2007 before the
FTA took effect in March 2007.
Table 3-5. Egypt’s MFN Tariff Schedule Summary
Tariff Base Rate (%)
Number of Tariff Lines
Percent of Total Tariff Lines
0
484
8.8
>0 to 5
2,876
52.4
>5 to 10
1,054
19.2
>10 to 20
254
4.6
>20 to 30
780
14.2
>30 to 40
13
0.2
>40
23
0.4
Total
5,484
100.0
SOURCE: Egyptian Tariff schedule 2007, TPAU analysis.
INVESTMENT
5
Investment promotion is an important objective of the EgyptTurkey FTA, and a review of past
and current investment information will help detect investment trends. In the FTA the two parties
agreed to promote investment and technology flows by
6
Identifying, through appropriate means investment opportunities and information channels on
investment regulations;
Providing information on measures to promote investment abroad (e.g., technical assistance,
financial support, investment insurance, etc.);
Planning and implementing development projects, including the participation of foreign
investors;
Encouraging joint ventures, especially for SMEs and, when appropriate, concluding
agreements between Turkey and Egypt.
From the Egyptian side the agreement is expected to increase confidence in the Egyptian economy
and make it attractive as a hub for exports to other African, European, and Arab countries. Indeed,
Turkish and other investors may not only benefit from duty-free provisions when importing raw
material and other inputs from Turkey, but also export eligible products on a duty-free basis to
Turkey, EU, and other countries with free trade agreements with Egypt. Inward investment and
expanded trade are, in turn, expected to expand industrial activity and, thus, employment for
skilled and non-skilled labor.
Investment figures are already rising rapidly. Turkish investments in Egypt amounted to about
$ million from 1986 to the first quarter of 2007 and may reach $1 billion during the course of
this year.
7
At the same time, about 66 Egyptian companies are reportedly operating in Turkey,
5
Data used in this section was provided mainly by the Turkish Embassy in Cairo.
6
Egypt-Turkey Free Trade Agreement, Article 28.
7 A True Turkish Delight, Hadia Mostafa, Business Today, February 2007,
http://www.businesstodayegypt.com/
18 E GYPT T U R K E Y F TA
according to Turkish Trade Minister Kürzad Tüzmen, while several others, particularly in the
service sectors, are considering investing there.
8
,
9
Turkish Investment in Egypt
Before the FTA was signed in 2005, 39 Turkish companies had established operations in Egypt in
diverse sectors and locations (Table A-4). Inward investment particularly picked up beginning in
2001 when FTA preparations were underway. By December 2005, when the agreement was signed
and results widely known among the business community in both countries, 20 more Turkish
companies had invested in Egypt (Table A-5).
Post-FTA, 2006 to April 2007. Once the agreement was signedand even before its
implementation in 2007the number of Turkish companies investing in Egypt increased
substantially to take advantage of export opportunities created by the agreement (Table A-6). Most
of the 59 Turkish companies that have invested in Egypt since the signing are involved in textiles
and apparel, again reflecting the opportunities to export into a wide range of African, Arab,
European, and even U.S. markets (through the Qualifying Industrialized Zones). This is reflected
in the 13 memoranda of understanding signed by the EgyptianTurkish business association and
which aim at enhancing cooperation in various fields with other Turkish associations and the
chamber of commerce.
10
There are 28 Turkish stores, retailers, showrooms, buying offices
currently operating in Egypt. According to the Turkish Embassy another 40 companies are
expected to begin operating in Egypt shortly (Table A-7).
Prospective. More than 90 Turkish companies, 21 shops and buying offices, and 6 Turkish banks
are considering investing in Egypt and are studying the feasibility of doing so. Most investments
being considered are in the textiles, automotive, and chemicals sectors.
11
Minister of Trade and
Industry Eng. Rachid Mohamed Rachid and the Turkish Trade Minister Kürzad Tüzmen have
signed a memorandum of understanding to establish the first private industrial park in Egypt for
Turkish manufacturers. The new 2 million square kilometer industrial cluster in the Sixth of
October City will include Turkish manufacturing operations from a number of sectors.
12
Discussions are also underway to create another industrial park for Turkish textiles manufactures
in Borg El-Arab, where a number of Turkish textile and ready-made garments factories have
already set up shop.
13
The Egyptian-Turkish business association announced the start of two
investment projects amounting to 1.8 billion Egyptian Pounds, one in Upper Egypt to produce
paper, and the other in el Areesh to produce glass.
14
Finally, an agreement has been reached to
establish regular marine lines to link Alexandria and Port Said ports with Izmir and Istanbul
ports.
15
Details on investors, locations, and investment amounts are provided in the Appendix.
8
Ibid
 Details on Egyptian investment in Turkey are outside the scope of this report.
10
Al Ahram newspaper, Khalifa Adham, 16 July 2007.
11
Data provided by the Turkish Embassy in Cairo
12
Al Ahram newspaper, Abd El Naser Aref, 17 March 2007
13
Business Today, February 2007, http://www.businesstodayegypt.com
14
Al Ahram newspaper, Khalifa Adham, 16 July 2007.
15
Ibid
4. Global Analysis Using General
Equilibrium Approach
In this chapter we model the impact of the EgyptTurkey FTA on the Egyptian economy. The
model employed is the GTAP Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model widely used to
analyze the impact of tariff liberalization. The model and its structure are reviewed in an earlier
paper (TPAU 2006) and in international journals and publications (Tsagas and Hertel 1997). To
accurately reflect conditions in Egypt and Turkey, the standard model was modified to include
macroeconomic closures‖:
Unemployment in the Egyptian market for unskilled labor.
Balance of payments for Egypt and Turkey constrained to 2004 levels, thus preventing either
country from deviating substantially from its current balance of trade in goods and services
into deficit or surplus (a common assumption for developing countries).
The database employed is the GTAP version 7p1 database reflecting global trade, production, and
tariffs for 2004. Egypt’s tariffs on imports from Turkey have been updated to 2007 rates, reflecting
substantial liberalization of Egypt’s tariff schedule.
TARIFF PHASE OUT
Simulations were carried out in four stages or scenarios reflecting the four major delineations of
Egypt’s tariff phase-out over 12 years. This methodology reveals the magnitude and timing of
sector impacts.
Table 4-1 presents Egyptian tariffs in place on goods from Turkey in 2007 (post-FTA) broken
down by six major sectors ranging from agriculture to services trade.
16
It also shows the phase out
of tariffs from 2008 to 2020 in the four periods that mark major shifts in the phase out schedule.
An analytical incongruity is evident where 2007 tariff data are presented with 2004 trade and
production data. The phase out schedule starts with the tariffs in place at the ratification of the
agreement (February 2007) (using the new 2007 tariff schedule). But trade data for 2007 are not
available before the end of the year. In addition, the global database of production and trade used
here is based on 2004 data. These inconsistencies are not serious and more up to date data are used
whey they are available, such as 2007 tariffs applied to 2004 trade data. Turkey’s tariffs have
changed little since it entered into a customs union with the EU in the 1990s. Rates from a
database for 2004 (see Table 4-2) are therefore applied in the following analysis.
17
16
Details on sector-by-sector tariff phase out for Egypt are presented in Table A-1.
17
Table A-2 provides sector by sector tariff phase out for Egypt.
20 E GYPT T U R K E Y F TA
Table 4-1. Egyptian Phase-Out Schedule by Sector, 20072020
Sector
2004 (US$ millions)
Tariff Phase Out Schedule (Trade
Weighted Average Tariffs, %)*
Production
Imports from
Turkey (%)
Base
2007
2008
2014
2017
2020
Agriculture
27,163.5
50.1
6.5
6.5
6.5
6.5
6.5
Energy
13,945.5
0.3
3.1
1.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
Textiles and apparel
12,518.7
80.9
1.7
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
Motor vehicles and equipment
2,705.8
102.2
33.1
30.5
17.2
7.6
0.0
Mining and metals
9,874.0
142.1
9.1
8.7
3.4
0.0
0.0
Chemicals, wood and other manu.
9,310.0
77.0
7.4
5.7
1.3
0.2
0.2
All products
75,517.5
452.5
12.6
12.1
6.7
2.8
0.7
SOURCE: Analysis by Nathan Associates and the Egyptian TPAU based on the Egypt-Turkey Phase out schedules.
*Data reflect weighted averages based on 2004 Egyptian imports from Turkey as reported by CAPMAS and 2007 tariffs.
Table 4-2.Turkish Phase-Out Schedule, by Sector, 20072008
Sector
Imports from Egypt
2004 (US$ Millions)*
Tariffs on Imports from Egypt (%)**
2007
2008
Agriculture
46.6
37.1
37.1
Energy
31.9
0.1
0.0
Textiles and apparel
26.3
7.0
0.0
Motor vehicles and equipment
14.5
3.2
0.0
Mining and metals
43.6
2.9
0.0
Chemicals, wood and other man.
69.8
2.6
0.0
All products
232.6
9.8
7.4
SOURCE: Analysis by Nathan Associates and the Egyptian TPAU based on the EgyptTurkey Phase out schedules.
* GTAP 2004 trade data.
**Data reflect weighted averages based on 2004 Turkish imports from Egypt as reported by GTAP.
WELFARE IMPACTS
Table 4-3 presents estimates of net welfare impacts resulting from market access liberalization
under the EgyptTurkey FTA. The annualized welfare impact amounts to US$45 million for Egypt
and US$95 million for Turkey at the time of complete implementation of the agreement in 2020.
These impacts are modest, amounting to less than 1/10th of a percent of the GDP of either country.
For Egypt, more than two-thirds of the benefits of the FTA accrue at or before 2014. For Turkey,
benefits are significantly delayed, with more than two-thirds accruing after 2014. This stems from
the long phase out of industrial tariffs granted to Egypt. So, while Egypt’s total welfare benefits
are less than Turkey’s, Egypt starts accruing them much earlier and for a longer period. The
standard GTAP model implemented in this analysis does not capture the dynamic effects of
investments and capital accumulation that might occur as a result of the free trade agreement.
Understanding where welfare benefits and costs arise can provide insight not only into the overall
impact of the FTA, but also into how different stakeholders in an economy are affected. Table 4-3
also presents these manifestations of welfare changes:
G T A P A N A L Y S I S 21
Allocative efficiencythe gain or loss to an economy when scarce resources, such as land,
skilled labor, and capital are used more efficiently;
The endowment effectthe gain from greater utilization of unemployed factors of production,
such as unskilled labor in Egypt;
The terms of trade effectthe change in the ratio of export prices to import prices.
The US$45 million welfare gain for Egypt has three components. Importantly, wage gains from
expanding employment in the unskilled labor market make up US$46 million of the benefits. This
is offset, however, by a loss of US$14 million from deteriorating terms of trade. In contrast, the
gains to Turkey accrue largely from improved terms of trade effect of over US$66 million.
Table 4-3. Welfare Impacts, GDP and Income (in 2004 US$)
Welfare Component
GDP 2004
Impacts (US$ millions)
2008
2014
2017
2020
Total
E GYPT
Total
76,805.0
15.7
17.7
9.0
2.8
45.2
Allocative efficiency
--
1.4
14.6
7.3
-5.1
18.2
Employment gains low skilled
labor (losses)
--
7.2
10.8
12.1
16.6
46.7
Terms of trade
--
5.8
-5.2
-7.4
-7.4
-14.2
T U R K E Y
Total
295,831.0
3.8
26.0
30.2
32.3
92.3
Allocative efficiency
--
1.2
3.1
4.3
7.9
16.5
Employment gains (losses)
--
--
--
--
--
--
Terms of trade
--
2.2
20.0
22.7
21.4
66.3
Note: Impacts do not sum to total because several smaller categories are omitted.
SOURCE: Analysis by Nathan Associates and the TPAU.
TRADE AND PRODUCTION IMPACT
While the FTA’s impact on Egypt’s GDP is modest, differences in trade and production at the
sector level are significant. Sectors of interest here include the following:
Agriculture
Energy
Textiles and apparel
Motor vehicles and equipment,
Mining and metals,
Chemicals, wood and other manufactures
Services
Exports and Imports
The EgyptTurkey FTA results in an increase in Egyptian imports of just under US$100 million
by 2020. Imports from Turkey increase by nearly US$500 million by that time period, but more
than half of the increase in imports from Turkey occurs after 2017. Imports from the rest of the
world decline significantly, but by somewhat less than the increase in imports from Turkey (Figure
22 E GYPT T U R K E Y F TA
4-1). The decline in imports from the rest of the world demonstrates the FTA’s strong trade
diversion effect, which limit much of the gains from trade.
Egypt’s exports to both Turkey and elsewhere are estimated to increase. Most of Egypt’s export
gains to Turkey occur in 2008 as a result of Turkey’s immediate elimination of industrial tariffs at
the ratification of the agreement. Exports to the rest of the world decline slightly as Egyptian
industry shifts sales from other export markets to Turkey.
Figure 4-1. Change in Egyptian Imports Relative to 2004 Baseline (US$ Millions)
Figure 4-2. Change in Egyptian Exports Relative to 2004 Baseline (US$ millions)
G T A P A N A L Y S I S 23
The net long-term impact is overwhelmingly positive. Starting in 2014, Egypt’s tariff liberalization
on imports from Turkey results in Egypt expanding exports to the rest of the world. This continues
to grow with successive phases of tariff phase out as cheaper imports on inputs from Turkey make
Egypt’s exports to the rest of the world more competitive. By 2020, the increase in Egyptian
exports to the rest of the world will be more significant than the increase in Egyptian exports to
Turkey because of continued reductions in tariffs on Turkish imports (Figure 4-2).
Agriculture
The impact of the EgyptTurkey FTA on Egypt’s agricultural sectors is modest because chapters
1-24 of the Harmonized Schedule were not provided tariff elimination under the agreement.
Liberalization of agriculture sectors is limited to a few tariff rate quotas (TRQs) and an agreement
to continue discussions on agricultural products. TRQs with low quotas result in rents, in the form
of tariff revenue, being diverted to producers in the exporting country. Out of quota tariffs have no
impact on import levels and hence trade patterns.
Still, data in Tables 4-1 and 4-2 show that Egyptian tariffs on agricultural imports from Turkey
(6.5 percent) are significantly lower than Turkey’s tariff on imports from Egypt (37.1 percent).
These data seem to indicate that Egypt has more potential to gain from extending the FTA to
agricultural products then Turkey and Egypt could gain from this liberalization. Egyptian imports
that could benefit the most from further liberalization include rice, sugar and sugar cane, fruits and
nuts, and processed food products (see Table A-2).
Energy
The estimated impact of the EgyptTurkey FTA on Egypt’s energy sectors (natural gas, oil, coal,
and electric generation) is negligible. Tariffs on energy imports are already low in both countries
(in Egypt, an average 3.1 percent; in Turkey less than 1 percent) .
Textiles and Apparel
Total imports of textile and apparel products, from all countries, are estimated to comprise 10
percent of Egyptian production or US$1.3 billion in imports in 2004 (Table 4-4). Egypt’s imports
of textile and apparel products from Turkey in 2004 are estimated at less than 1 percent of
Egyptian production. In all cases, for imports and exports, textile trade with Turkey surpasses
apparel trade by a wide margin.
On the basis of average tariffs presented in Table 4-1, one can estimate the average tariff to be
eliminated on imports of textile and apparel from Turkey to be 1.7 percent. A detailed examination
of product line trade data reveals that the vast majority of Egyptian imports from Turkey are
manmade fiber textile fabrics and yarns, which draw a zero tariff when entering Egypt, resulting in
a strong downward bias on the weighted average tariff rate. Conversely, Egyptian exports to
Turkey face an average tariff rate estimated to be 7 percent. The model, therefore, estimates only
modest gains for Egyptian imports and exports of textile and apparel productsa change in
domestic production of less than 1 percent when the agreement is fully in force in 2020 (Table 4-
5).
24 E GYPT T U R K E Y F TA
Table 4-4. Egyptian Textile and Apparel Trade as Percent of Production, 2004
Trade Flow
Total
Apparel
Textiles
Total imports
10.2
4.1
16.1
From Turkey
0.6
0.0
1.3
Total exports
13.6
13.4
13.8
To Turkey
0.2
0.0
0.4
SOURCE: Table 3-5.
Table 4-5. Estimated Impacts on Egyptian Textile and Apparel Production and
Trade
Sector
Base
2004
Impacts (est. US$ millions)
2008
2014
2017
2020
Total
P R O D U C T I O N
Apparel
6,156.2
0.6
1.2
-0.2
-1.5
0.1
Textile fabrics and yarns
6,362.5
15.2
-1.5
0.1
-1.7
12.1
Total
12,518.7
15.8
-0.3
-0.1
-3.2
12.1
I M P O R T S
Apparel
255.0
0.2
0.1
0.3
0.0
0.6
Textile fabrics and yarns
1,024.5
1.3
3.1
0.3
-0.1
4.7
Total
1,279.6
1.5
3.2
0.6
-0.1
5.2
E XPORTS
Apparel
826.9
0.4
0.8
0.6
0.6
2.4
Textile fabrics and yarns
881.1
15.5
0.8
0.6
-0.1
16.8
Total
1,708.0
15.9
1.6
1.2
0.4
19.2
I M P O R T S F R O M TURKEY
Apparel
0.4
0.0
0.4
0.7
0.0
1.1
Textile fabrics and yarns
80.5
1.3
7.0
1.2
-0.1
9.4
Total
80.9
1.3
7.4
1.9
-0.1
10.4
E X P O R T S T O T U R K E Y
Apparel
1.7
1.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.9
Textile fabrics and yarns
24.6
15.5
0.0
0.0
-0.1
15.4
Total
26.3
17.4
0.0
0.0
-0.1
17.4
Motor Vehicles and Equipment
Egypt’s motor vehicle, transportation, and heavy equipment sector has high import penetration and
low export competitiveness, as evidenced by trade flows as a percentage of Egyptian production of
these products (Table 4-6). Imports of motor vehicles and transport equipment are estimated to be
slightly less than two-thirds of domestic production. The machinery and heavy equipment market
is dominated by imports, with Egyptian production only achieving a fraction of total import levels
for these products. Meanwhile, motor vehicle imports face some of the highest levels of Egyptian
protection of any manufactured goods sectortariffs average 65 percentand tariffs on particular
products can exceed 100 percent.
G T A P A N A L Y S I S 25
Even with high tariffs, Egyptian production of motor vehicles is only modestly affected by rising
Turkish imports resulting from tariff elimination. The impact on Egyptian production is estimated
to be about US$11 million by 2020. Imports from Turkey, however, are expected to surge from
less than 1 percent of Egyptian production to US$282 million or 17 percent of Egyptian
production. Importantly, the large Turkish gain in the Egyptian market primarily results in trade
diversion and a movement away from motor vehicle imports from the rest of the world (Table 4-
7).
Table 4-6. Egyptian Motor Vehicles and Equipment Trade as Percent of
Production, 2004
Trade Flow
Total
Motor
Vehicles
Transportation
Equipment
Machinery and
Equipment
Total imports
188.0
60.7
57.3
622.1
From Turkey
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.2
Total exports
0.1
0.2
2.7
1.6
To Turkey
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
SOURCE: Table 3-7.
Table 4-7. Estimated Impacts on Egyptian Motor Vehicle and Equipment
Production and Trade
Sector
Base
2004
Impacts (est. US$ millions)
2008
2014
2017
2020
Total
P R O D U C T I O N
Motor vehicles
1,619
2.5
-2.2
-4.4
-7.7
-11.8
Transportation equipment
471
0.1
0.6
0.6
0.5
1.8
Machinery and equipment
616
1.0
1.5
1.5
0.0
4.0
Total
2705.8
3.6
-0.2
-2.3
-7.2
-6.0
I M P O R T S
Motor vehicles
981.7
1.6
-10.4
-2.8
17.5
5.8
Transportation equipment
270.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.3
0.5
Machinery and equipment
3834.6
16.2
0.5
-0.7
-1.6
14.4
Total
5,086.4
17.8
-9.9
-3.4
16.2
20.7
E XPORTS
Motor vehicles
2.7
2.1
0.6
1.0
1.0
4.8
Transportation equipment
12.6
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.5
Machinery and equipment
10.1
1.1
1.2
1.1
1.1
4.6
Total
25.5
3.2
2.0
2.3
2.3
9.9
I M P O R T S F R O M TURKEY
Motor vehicles
1.9
1.6
47.0
87.6
146.4
282.6
Transportation equipment
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.1
Machinery and equipment
1.3
16.2
8.5
3.5
-0.2
28.0
Total
3.3
17.8
55.5
91.2
146.3
310.7
E X P O R T S T O T U R K E Y
26 E GYPT T U R K E Y F TA
Sector
Base
2004
Impacts (est. US$ millions)
2008
2014
2017
2020
Total
Motor vehicles
0.2
2.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
2.4
Transportation equipment
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Machinery and equipment
0.2
1.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2
Total
0.4
3.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
3.7
Mining, Minerals, and Metals
With an estimated US$9.8 billion in sales, mining and metal products are Egypt’s third largest
manufacturing sectors. The largest segment is mineral products, including cement and aggregates,
followed by iron and steel products. These two sectors also enjoy the highest import protection
15 and 19 percent weighted average tariffs on Turkey (Table 4-8).
While imports as a percentage of Egyptian production often exceed 50 percent in other mining and
metals industrial segments, imports in the two protected sectors are less than 10 percent of
production. This relationship follows through the export side: Egyptian exports of raw minerals
and basic iron and steel exceed 50 percent of estimated domestic production. Meanwhile, exports
of mineral products represent less than 20 percent of domestic production, and exports of products
made from iron and steel do not exceed 10 percent of domestic production (Table 4-9).
The impact of the EgyptTurkey FTA mirrors the structure of trade and protection for these
products. The sectors most significantly affected include mineral products and iron and steel
products, with Egypt’s imports from Turkey increasing two- to threefold. But the general impact of
this rise in imports from Turkey is mitigated by the fact that Egypt’s imports from Turkey in these
sectors amount to less than 1 percent of total Egyptian production (Table 4-10).
Table 4-8. Weighted Average Egyptian Tariffs on Mining and Metal Products
Product
Base
2007
Tariff Phase Out Schedule
2008
2014
2017
2020
Raw minerals
4.9
3.7
1.6
0
0
Mineral products (cement, aggregates)
15.0
14.5
5.4
0
0
Iron and steel (ingot, sheet, plate, coil)
1.6
1.5
0.6
0
0
Products of iron and steel
19.3
18.8
7.4
0
0
Non-ferrous metal products
2.6
0.7
0
0
0
Total
9.1
8.7
3.4
0
0
Table 4-9. Egyptian Mining and Metals Trade as a Percent of Production, 2004
Trade Flow
Total
Raw
Minerals
Mineral
Products
Iron and
Steel
Iron and
Steel
Products
Non-ferrous
Metal
Products
Imports total
24.5
52.7
7.6
57.2
6.8
20.4
From Turkey
1.4
1.3
0.6
3.6
1.8
0.1
Exports total
24.9
56.8
19.2
49.1
6.8
27.0
To Turkey
0.4
2.7
0.4
0.5
0.1
0.5
G T A P A N A L Y S I S 27
Table 4-10. Estimated Impacts on Mining and Metal Production and Trade
Sector
Base
2004
Impacts (est. US$ millions)
2008
2014
2017
2020
Total
P R O D U C T I O N
Raw minerals
432
2.8
-3.2
-2.2
1.8
-0.7
Mineral products (cement, aggregates)
3,791
2.5
-0.4
0.0
0.9
3.0
Iron and steel (ingot, sheet, plate, coil)
1,938
0.0
-14.0
-16.0
2.3
-27.7
Products of iron and steel
2,314
1.4
2.1
1.9
0.6
6.0
Non-ferrous metal products
1,400
7
-15
-16
6
-19
Total
9,874.0
13.5
-30.9
-32.3
11.3
-38.5
I M P O R T S
Raw minerals
227.4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.4
Mineral products (cement, aggregates)
287.2
0.5
5.9
5.7
0.2
12.3
Iron and steel (ingot, sheet, plate, coil)
1108.6
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.7
2.3
Products of iron and steel
510.8
0.9
14.1
19.4
0.1
34.6
Non-ferrous metal products
285.8
0.2
-0.3
-0.3
-0.3
-0.7
Total
2,419.8
2.5
20.5
25.2
0.8
48.9
E XPORTS
Raw minerals
245.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
Mineral products (cement, aggregates)
726.0
2.9
0.5
0.4
0.4
4.1
Iron and steel (ingot, sheet, plate, coil)
951.8
3.9
0.8
0.9
0.9
6.4
Products of iron and steel
157.6
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.4
1.3
Non-ferrous metal products
377.6
1.7
1.4
1.3
1.3
5.8
Total
2,458.1
8.8
2.9
3.0
3.0
17.8
I M P O R T S F R O M TURKEY
Raw minerals
5.7
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.0
0.5
Mineral products (cement, aggregates)
23.1
0.5
11.9
10.5
0.0
22.8
Iron and steel (ingot, sheet, plate, coil)
70.5
0.7
3.4
2.3
0.0
6.5
Products of iron and steel
41.3
0.9
36.4
43.3
-0.1
80.5
Non-ferrous metal products
1.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.3
Total
142.1
2.5
52.0
56.2
-0.1
110.6
E X P O R T S T O T U R K E Y
Raw minerals
11.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Mineral products (cement, aggregates)
14.6
2.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.0
Iron and steel (ingot, sheet, plate, coil)
9.0
3.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
4.0
Products of iron and steel
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
Non-ferrous metal products
6.9
1.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.8
Total
43.6
8.8
0.1
0.1
0.1
9.1
28 E GYPT T U R K E Y F TA
Chemicals, Wood Products, and Other Manufactures
Chemicals, wood products and other manufactures is the fourth largest sector of Egypt’s
manufacturing economy. The chemical segment dominates, accounting for about 45 percent of
Egyptian production in this product grouping, followed by other manufactures, accounting for
about 27 percent of production in this product group (Table 4-11). All products in this group
experience significant import competition, with imports exceeding 48 percent of domestic
production for all segments. Export levels, as measured relative to Egyptian production, are
highest for chemicals, exceeding 25 percent of domestic production, and lowest for wood products,
with just under 6 percent of domestic production being exported.
Tariff levels on Egyptian imports from Turkey average 7.4 percent (see Table A-1). Wood
products are the most heavily protected segment, with a weighted average tariff on imports from
Turkey of 11.5 percent. Chemical products have the lowest weighted average tariff from Turkey
(6.9 percent). The average tariff on Turkish imports from Egypt of these products is 2.6 percent.
Overall, Egypt’s imports of these products from Turkey are less than 1 percent of Egypt’s total
production. Similarly, Egypt’s exports of these products are less than 1 percent of Egyptian
production. The chemical sector leads the volumes of trade in these products.
Overall impacts from the FTA are limited to about US$70 million dollars per year by 2020, less
than 1 percent of Egyptian production for these products (Table 4-12).
Table 4-11. Egyptian Chemical, Wood Products and Other Manufactures Trade
as Percent of Production, 2004
Trade Flow
Total
Chemicals
Raw Wood
and Paper
Wood
Products
Manufactures
n.e.c.
Imports Total
63.9
82.3
52.0
50.1
48.1
From Turkey
0.8
1.4
0.5
0.7
0.2
Exports Total
15.9
25.2
9.0
5.7
10.2
To Turkey
0.7
1.6
0.0
0.0
0.1
Table 4-12. Estimated Impact on Chemical, Wood Product, and Other
Manufactures’ Production and Trade
Sector
Base
Impacts (est. US$ millions)
2004
2008
2014
2017
2020
Total
P R O D U C T I O N
Chemicals
4,081.8
6.9
5.3
1.0
0.2
13.3
Raw wood and paper
1,250.6
11.5
10.9
3.1
0.0
25.6
Wood products
1,429.3
8.2
4.0
1.7
0.0
14.0
Manufactures n.e.c.
2,548.3
7.9
6.8
2.6
0.0
17.4
Total
9,310.0
34.5
27.0
8.4
0.3
70.2
I M P O R T S
Chemicals
3361.1
5.5
3.4
0.4
-0.7
8.5
Raw wood and paper
650.0
0.2
0.3
0.1
-0.2
0.4
Wood products
715.9
2.6
0.8
0.8
0.0
4.3
Manufactures n.e.c.
1225.1
0.4
-0.3
-0.4
-0.3
-0.6
G T A P A N A L Y S I S 29
Sector
Base
Impacts (est. US$ millions)
2004
2008
2014
2017
2020
Total
Total
5,952.1
8.7
4.2
0.8
-1.2
12.6
E XPORTS
Chemicals
1028.7
11.2
2.1
1.7
1.7
16.7
Raw wood and paper
112.7
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.7
Wood products
81.4
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
Manufactures n.e.c.
259.9
2.0
0.8
0.9
0.9
4.6
Total
1,482.7
13.3
3.2
2.8
2.8
22.2
I M P O R T S F R O M TURKEY
Chemicals
57.4
5.5
18.4
3.7
-0.1
27.5
Raw wood and paper
6.1
0.2
3.0
1.6
0.0
4.8
Wood products
9.3
2.6
1.8
1.6
0.0
6.0
Manufactures n.e.c.
4.2
0.4
1.7
1.5
0.0
3.5
Total
77.0
8.7
24.9
8.3
-0.2
41.8
E X P O R T S T O T U R K E Y
Chemicals
65.7
11.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
11.6
Raw wood and paper
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Wood products
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Manufactures n.e.c.
3.5
2.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.1
Total
69.8
13.3
0.2
0.2
0.2
13.8
Services
Services often comprise two-thirds or more of an economy’s activity, but services trade data are
rarely of the same quality as data on manufactured and agricultural goods. Services data are
usually collected at the highest levels by central banks, and even then they are estimates based on
residuals in national accounts as much as they are data reported from census estimates. The GTAP
database includes 12 service sectors (combined in Table 4-13 into 4 services sectors). GTAP’s
services trade data are based on a number of estimation techniques, starting with International
Monetary Fund and national central bank estimates. These data are then reconciled with each
country’s input-output table to estimate trade and consumption. Unlike goods, services are rarely
subject to tariffs or taxes at the border. Fully covering services trade liberalization would entail
creating estimates of rules-based changes in trade regimesin contrast to tariffs and quotas, for
which estimates are more readily availableso such coverage is beyond our scope. Therefore, the
data in Table 4-13 represent changes in services trade that would result from tariff reductions for
agricultural and nonagricultural goods. Impacts, as generated, are due to linkages in the model and
derive from liberalizations modeled in sectors other than services.
Services related activities are expected to increase by US$88.2 million as a result of the FTA, with
construction and transportation and communication services contributing by far the greatest gains.
30 E GYPT T U R K E Y F TA
Table 4-13. Estimated Impacts on Egyptian Services Production and Trade
Sector
Base
2004
Impacts (est. US$ millions)
2008
2014
2017
2020
Total
P R O D U C T I O N
Construction
10,189.2
5.1
11.0
12.3
10.2
38.6
Trade and financial services
19,240.1
1.1
2.9
2.7
3.2
9.9
Transportation and communication
13,977.0
-4.9
11.6
17.8
24.4
48.9
Other
20,910.0
0.2
0.5
-3.2
-6.8
-9.2
Total
64,316.3
1.5
26.1
29.6
31.1
88.2
I M P O R T S
Construction
8.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Trade and financial services
3,040.3
0.0
-0.3
-0.6
0.3
-0.6
Transportation and communication
676.1
0.0
-0.3
-0.6
-0.8
-1.7
Other
960.5
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
0.0
-0.3
Total
4,685.1
0.0
-0.7
-1.4
-0.5
-2.6
E XPORTS
Construction
145.5
0.0
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.8
Trade and financial services
2,105.6
0.0
0.6
1.1
1.1
2.7
Transportation and communication
3,961.5
0.0
6.3
10.7
10.7
27.7
Other
1,357.7
0.0
0.3
0.4
0.4
1.1
Total
7,570.3
0.0
7.5
12.5
12.5
32.4
I M P O R T S F R O M TURKEY
Construction
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Trade and financial services
17.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Transportation and communication
15.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
Other
3.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Total
36.6
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
E X P O R T S T O T U R K E Y
Construction
145.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Trade and financial services
2,105.6
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Transportation and communication
3,961.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
Other
1,357.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Total
7,570.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
5. Trade Barriers in Turkey
One objective of the EgyptTurkey FTA is to ―eliminate difficulties and restrictions on trade in
goods.‖ Trade barriers include tariffs, tariffs, tariff rate quotas (TRQs), import licenses, import
surveillance, export subsidies, and domestic support. In discussing trade barriers that exporters
face in entering the Turkish market, this chapter draws on the experience of countries such as
Japan, the United States, and China, and not necessarily Egypt.
18
Though some of these barriers
may have been eliminated, they represent what Egyptian exports might face in trying to take
advantage of the FTA. Barriers not eliminated before the FTA was signed or eliminated or
nullified by the FTA itself can be an appropriate matter for discussion by the joint committee.
TARIFFS
All of Turkey’s tariffs on Egyptian industrial exports were abolished upon the entry into force of
the agreement. Tariffs on agricultural and processed agricultural products (from HS chapters 1-24)
remain. Because of its customs union with the EU, Turkey has been applying the EU common
external tariff (CET) to industrial products and the industrial components of processed agricultural
products imported from third countries since January 1996.
19
Turkey maintains high tariff rates on
many food and agricultural product imports. The Government of Turkey often raises tariffs on
grains during the domestic harvest. Tariffs on fresh fruits range from 61 percent to 149 percent,
and on processed fruit, fruit juice, and vegetables from 41 to 138 percent.
20
Goods imported into
Turkey may be subject to five types of charges: customs tariffs, excise duties, the Mass Housing
Fund (MHF) levy, the special consumption tax (SCT), and the value-added tax (VAT).
21
(The
preferential treatment that applies to Egyptian exports of goods in HS Chapters 1-24 is presented
in Table A-3).
TARIFF RATE QUOTAS
Turkey imposes tariff quotas on imports of certain agricultural products in order to control import
quantities and protect domestic producers. Imports that exceed a quota limit face a higher tariff.
According to the last WTO trade policy review of Turkey, tariff quotas have been opened on an
MFN basis for flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy steel (hot and cold rolled).
22
18
This chapter relies on secondary sources, mainly other countries’ or international organizations’ reports.
We will monitor trade barriers facing Egyptian exporters after they have had more experience with the FTA.
19
TPR WT/TPR/S/125, Turkey WTO Trade Policy Review 2003.
20
U.S. National Trade Estimate, Foreign Trade Barriers report for Turkey, 2006
21
Ibid.
22
TPR WT/TPR/S/125, Turkey WTO Trade Policy Review 2003.
32 E GYPT T U R K E Y F T A
TRQ Administration in the FTA
Turkey administers its TRQs on agricultural and processed agricultural products according to the
provisions of Protocol II of the EgyptTurkey FTA. TRQ administration criteria include:
Past performance. Used for items in high demand and that have high tariff rates (e.g., bovine
animals, meat, cheese, butter, maize, vegetable oil seeds, and oils). Total demand for each item
in this group exceeds total in-quota quantities, so all applications are collected before the tariff
quota period. Quotas are allocated among the firms based on import performance in previous
years and/or consumption or production capacities for the items demanded.
First comeFirst served. Used for items in with lower demand (e.g., chocolate and other food
preparations containing cocoa, soups, tropical fruits, vinegar, spices, vegetable and fruit juices,
and mineral waters). For each item in this group, importers are limited as to how much they
can bring in with each application so as to prevent a single importer from purchasing the entire
quota.
It is possible for a firm realizing at least 50 percent of the amount indicated on the import license
to apply for another license for the same quota. Import licenses are issued within a five-day period.
The firms are required to return the licenses within 10 working days after actual importation.
The tariff quota for rice under the FTA is allocated according to the past performance criterion.
The tariff quota application for importing rice is made one month before the tariff quota period
(from January 1 until December 31 of each year). A certain percentage of the quota is allocated
among applicants based on their import performance in previous years. The rest is allocated to
newcomers.
Tariff quota applications for rice originating in Egypt were received according to the Ministerial
Decree dated March 2, 2007 announcing the quota level for Egyptian rice, and Import
Communiqué dated March 29, 2007 stating the allocation methods and application rules and
procedures. The evaluation process is still ongoing.
IMPORT LICENCES
Turkey’s latest WTO notifications (2006) on import licensing restrictions showed a substantial
number of HS tariff linescovering 13 groups of productsthat require such licenses.
23
Turkey
has explained that these licenses apply to imports from any country and are not meant to restrict
trade. The 13 groups of products that require import licenses are as follows:
Group 1Radioactivity-related Items. Contains products that have radioactive elements
(classified under HS 2612, 2844, 2845, 7806, 8401, 8606, 8609, 8704, 8709, 8716, and 9022).
Those products require the approval of the Turkish Atomic Energy Authority before being
imported. The notification mentions that the purpose of approval by the Atomic Energy
Authority is to assure customers’ security against the probable harmful effects of radioactivity
emitted from goods subject to the Communiqué, and not to restrict the quantity or the value of
the goods.
Group 2Maps and Related Items. Contains all kinds of printed maps and hydrographic
maps, including atlases, topography plans, and globes classified under HS 4905 and 8524.
23
See document G/LIC/N/3/TUR/6 for the specific HS codes.
T RADE B A R R I E R S I N TU R K E Y 33
Those products require the approval of the Commandership of Maritime Forces for
importation of sea maps, as well as the Ministry of National Defense and the General
Commandership of Cartography. Turkish authorities point out that these procedures apply to
all imports regardless of origin in order to ensure correct and accurate information to the
public.
Group 3Machinery and Related Items. Contains some products classified under HS 7321,
8403, 8414, 84, 85, 87, 9009, 9101, and 9102. This certificate indicates that after-sale services
such as maintenance and repair are warranted on a regional basis and that maintenance
services, technicians, and spare parts stocks are sufficient. To import products from any
country, a certificate issued by the Ministry of Industry and Commerce is required.
Group 4Motor Vehicles. A pro forma invoice certified by the Ministry of Industry and
Commerce or other organizations authorized by the Ministry is required by the Customs
Authorities (technical visa) to import vehicles covered under HS 8701, 8702, 8703, 8704,
8705, 8715, and 8716. The purpose is to ensure the importation of vehicles that are suitable for
highways.
Group 5Civil Aircraft Related Item. Covers a wide range of products under different HS
Codes if they are intended to be used in civil aviation. In this case, the approval of the Ministry
of Transportation, General Directorate of Civil Aviation, is required to prevent the usage of
imported goods in areas other than civil aviation.
Group 6 Banknotes and Related Items. Covers importation of products falling in HS
4802.55.10.90.11, 4802.55.20.90.11, 4802.55.30.90.11, 4802.55.90.90.11 and
4802.56.90.90.11. The approval of the Central Bank of Turkey is required to import banknotes
and the like, as well as papers for securities (excluding the kind used for printing share
certificates, bonds and other instruments of capital markets, and the kind used for printing
checkbooks). The Board of Capital Markets must approve the importation of papers used for
printing share certificates, bonds and other capital market instruments, and capital markets
instruments printed abroad for the purpose of public sales. This system is intended to help
ensure confidence in capital markets. Only banks and private financial institutions import
paper used to print checkbooks.
Group 7Explosives and Related Items. This group is concerned with products that may
cause harm to security and public safety like bombs and arms (HS codes 3601, 3602, 3603,
3604, 3912, 8211, 9005, 9303, 9304, 9305, 9306, and 9307). Importing these products requires
the approval of the Ministry of Interior (General Directorate of Security).
Group 8Chemicals and related items. Contains some products under HS Codes 2710, 2901,
and 2902. Importing these products requires the approval of the Energy Market Regulatory
Authority. The import license aims to protect consumers.
Group 9Products Affecting Worker Health. Goods under this group are classified under
HS codes 2707, 2710, 2901, 2902, 3208, 3506, 3814, 3824, 3901, 4005, and 6812 and their
importation requires the approval of the Ministry of Labor and Social Security (Institute of
Workers’ Health and Labor Security). The purpose is to protect workers’ health from the
harmful effects of goods covered by the Communiqué.
Group 10Fertilizers. Covers all products under HS Codes 3101, 3102, 3103, 3104, and
3105. Importation requires approval from the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs. The
purpose is to manage the resources used in agricultural production properly, as misuse of such
34 E GYPT T U R K E Y F T A
products may cause damage to health or lifecycle of plant, animal, or humans if they are not
controlled.
Group 11Items related to Chemical Weapons Manufacture. This group is divided into
three addendums that require approval of the Under-secretariat of Foreign Trade. Addendum I
covers some products under HS codes 2921, 2930, 2931, 300290, and 382490. Addendum II
covers some products under HS 2812, 2903, 2905, 2918, 2921, 2922, 292990, 293090, 2931,
293339, and 382490). Addendum 3 includes products under HS codes 281210, 2851, 2904,
292090, and 2922). For the goods listed in Addendum I, permission to import is provided only
for research, medical, pharmaceutical, or protection purposes. License is provided to import
from countries that have ratified the Convention on the Prohibition of the Development,
Production, Stockpiling and Use of Chemical Weapons and on their Destruction (CCW).
Goods in Addendum II from countries that have not ratified the CCW may not be imported
(Egypt is not party to this convention). For goods in Addendum III, all countries must obtain
permission to import from the Under-secretariat for Foreign Trade. The purpose of this import
license is to comply with the Convention on the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons.
Group 12 Forestry Products: As a member in the Convention on International Trade in
Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora (CITES), Turkey must comply with CITES
requirements. A CITES document from the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs or the
Ministry of Environment and Forestry is required for the importation of the species listed on
the Import Communiqué 2006/22. The system is intended to ensure the control of imports for
the sake of protecting endangered species
Group 13 Items related to Sugar Manufacture. Covers products under HS codes 292429,
292511, 292990, 293499, 293890, and 3504. Importation of these products requires the
approval of the Turkish Sugar Authority.
According to U.S. reports, the lack of transparency in Turkey’s import licensing system can result
in costly delays, demurrage charges, and other uncertainties that stifle trade for many agricultural
products and for distilled spirits.
24
In some cases, again according to U.S. experience, the
Government of Turkey simply does not issue any licenses, thereby creating a de facto ban on
imports. This is notably so for meat and poultry. Turkey has not allowed livestock for slaughter or
meat imports from any country since 1996 and has not established any public health requirements
for the entry of meat especially after the foot and mouth disease in Europe. U.S. authorities
maintain that while import licenses may be necessary in some cases (e.g., public health, security),
technical regulations based on international standards may be more appropriate inothers (e.g.,
protect humans, plants, animals, and the environment).
25
Implications of Customs Valuation Regime For Rice Exports
The Turkish Customs Authority applies duties on imports of rice according to the following values
or reference prices:
425 $/t CIF for brown rice,
570 $/t CIF for milled rice, and
340 $/ t CIF for paddy rice
24
U.S. National Trade Estimate, Foreign Trade Barriers report for Turkey, 2006.
25
Ibid.
T RADE B A R R I E R S I N TU R K E Y 35
The objective of the system is to prevent loss of tariff revenue due to under-invoicing. If the
declared import prices are below the reference prices, the Customs Authority collects the customs
duty according to the declared import price and a duty based on the difference between the
declared price and the reference price as a security. After the declared import price is verified, the
security is released. Clearly, however, these reference prices are not on par with actual export
prices (e.g., the export price for Egyptian milled rice is 350 $/t). Turkey’s customs valuation
system could be challenged in the WTO. Under the WTO’s Customs Valuation Agreement duties
should be collected according to the transaction value unless the authority has reason to doubt the
truth and accuracy of the declared price.
IMPORT SURVEILLANCE
According to Chinese sources, Turkey placed 15 more categories of imports under customs
clearance restriction by means of import surveillance in 2005. The decision to impose surveillance
over a particular imported product, according to Turkish regulations, is made by the Directorate
General of Imports of the Undersecretariat of the Prime Ministry for Foreign Trade, but it would
appear that the decision is rather arbitrary because of the absence of detailed rules of evaluation.
26
Surveillance measures have been reported on certain types of apparel of fur and leather of HS
4203.10.00.00.13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 21, 4303.10.90.00.16, and 4304.00.00.00.12. According to
these measures all importers, regardless of the country of origin, are required to register with
customs authorities. Turkey alleges that surveillance is consistent with multilateral rules and is
applied without prejudice to the provisions of the EgyptTurkey FTA and aims solely to monitor
the flow of imports. From Egypt’s perspective, such import surveillance may directly or indirectly
delay some shipments to Turkey and its impact has to be monitored closely.
EXPORT SUBSIDIES
In 1998 Turkey granted export subsidies for 18 agricultural or processed agricultural products.
Subsidies were later eliminated for citrus, tomatoes, milk powder, and frozen potatoes, and
introduced for chocolate and other food preparations, biscuits and waffles, and macaroni
vermicelli. According to Turkey’s latest (2003) WTO trade policy review, export subsidies are
granted for 16 agricultural or processed agricultural products in the form of deduction of debts, on
the basis of a percentage of the quantity of the product exported, or in cash (a fixed amount per ton
in US dollars). Table 5-1 presents summary data on export subsidies for the 16 products:
27
Table 5-1. Turkey’s Export Subsidies
Product
Rate (US$/ton)
Share of Exported Quantity
Eligible for Subsidy (%)
Cut flowers (fresh)
285
57
Vegetables, frozen (exc. potatoes)
106
38
Vegetables (dehydrated)
370
33
Fruit (frozen)
92
45
Preserves, pastes
55
85
26
http://www.china.org.cn/english/features/fmar/164617.htm Foreign Market Access Report 2006.
27
WT/TPR/S/125,WTO Trade Policy Review of Turkey , 2003
36 E GYPT T U R K E Y F T A
Product
Rate (US$/ton)
Share of Exported Quantity
Eligible for Subsidy (%)
Homogenized fruit preparations
53
69
Fruit juices (concentrated)
168
31
Olive oil
200
100
Prepared or preserved fish
210
100
Meat of poultry (excl. edible offals)
199
28
Eggs
US$7/1,000 pieces
40
Chocolate and other food preparations
containing chocolate
110
60
Biscuits, waffles
110
30
Macaroni vermicelli
73
40
Potatoes
20
N.A
Onion (dried)
17
N.A
DOMESTIC SUPPORT
Turkey’s notification to the WTO in 2002 for the reporting period January 1, 2001, through
December 31, 2001, indicates domestic market price supports for the products in Table 5-2.
Table 5-2. Turkey’s Market Price Supports, 2001
Notes:
Total support = ((Applied administrative price External reference price) x eligible production) fees
Data sources for individual products: Polatli Commodity Exchange Activity Report 2001wheat, barley, rye, oats; Bursa
Commodity Exchange Monthly Bulletin, 2001maize; TEKEL (The State Tobacco and Alcoholic Beverages Monopoly)tobacco.
Source: G/AG/N/TUR/14 of 30 may 2002 , Turkey notification on domestic support commitments.
Both agricultural export subsidies and domestic support distort trade and constitute unfair
competition for Egyptian exports in Turkish markets and in other countries. The subsidies issue is
discussed mainly at the multilateral level but may also be raised in the future in the joint
committee.
Prod.
Price
Eligible
Production
(tons)
Fees/
Levies
Total Support
(US$mill)
Applied Admin.
US$/ton
External Reference
(US$/ton)
Wheat
136.67
98.50
1,459,482
55.71
Barley
109.33
104.50
951,697
4.60
Maize
129.83
107.50
9
0.00
Rye
102.50
110.00
13,985
-0.10
Oats
102.50
110.00
2
0.00
Tobacco
1,583.33
3,197.00
40,000
-64.55
Sugar beet
No private buyer
Appendix. Trade and Investment
Data
Table A-1. Egyptian Production, Imports from Turkey, Tariff Phase Out
Sector
2004 (US$ millions)
Tariff Phase Out Schedule (%)
Egyptian
Production
Imports
from Turkey
Base
2007
2008
2014
2017
2020
Agriculture
Rice
2,892.3
0.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
Wheat
1,302.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Fibers
1,078.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Sugar, sugar cane, beets
1,051.2
0.1
10.0
10.0
10.0
10.0
10.0
Livestock
5,116.2
0.5
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.8
Vegetables, fruits and nuts
5,162.8
39.9
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
Processed food products
6,487.8
7.0
11.6
11.6
11.6
11.6
11.6
Beverages and tobacco
2,660.2
0.3
472.7
472.7
472.7
472.7
472.7
Agriculture n.e.c
1,412.2
2.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
Total
27,163.5
50.1
6.5
6.5
6.5
6.5
6.5
Energy
13,945.5
0.3
3.1
1.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
Textiles and Apparel
Apparel
6,156.2
0.4
21.0
20.9
9.4
0.0
0.0
Textile fabrics and yarns
6,362.5
80.5
1.6
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
Total
12,518.7
80.9
1.7
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
Motor Vehicles and Equipment
Motor Vehicles
1,618.6
47.6
64.6
63.0
36.2
16.3
0.0
Transportation equipment
470.8
0.2
7.7
6.6
1.0
0.0
0.0
Machinery and equipment
616.4
54.5
5.7
2.1
0.6
0.0
0.0
Total
2,705.8
102.2
33.1
30.5
17.2
7.6
0.0
Mining and Metals
Raw minerals
431.9
5.7
4.9
3.7
1.6
0.0
0.0
Mineral products (cement, aggregates)
3,790.6
23.1
15.0
14.5
5.4
0.0
0.0
Iron and steel (ingot, sheet, plate, coil)
1,937.9
70.5
1.6
1.5
0.6
0.0
0.0
Iron and steel products
2,313.6
41.3
19.3
18.8
7.4
0.0
0.0
Non-ferrous metal products
1,400.0
1.4
2.6
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
Total
9,874.0
142.1
9.1
8.7
3.4
0.0
0.0
Chemicals, Wood and Other
Manufactures
Chemicals
4,081.8
57.4
6.9
5.3
1.0
0.2
0.2
Raw wood and paper
1,250.6
6.1
11.5
10.9
3.1
0.0
0.0
Wood products
1,429.3
9.3
8.2
4.0
1.7
0.0
0.0
Manufactures n.e.c.
2,548.3
4.2
7.9
6.8
2.6
0.0
0.0
Total
9,310.0
77.0
7.4
5.7
1.3
0.2
0.2
Services
Construction
10,189.2
0.0
--
--
--
--
--
Trade and financial services
19,240.1
17.7
--
--
--
--
--
Transportation and communication
13,977.0
15.0
--
--
--
--
--
Other services
20,910.0
3.9
--
--
--
--
--
Total
64,316.3
36.6
--
--
--
--
--
TOTAL
139,833.8
489.1
12.6
12.1
6.7
2.8
0.7
Source: Nathan Associates and TPAU.
A - 2 A P P E N D I X
Table A-2. Turkish Imports from Egypt and Applied Tariff Rates
Sector
Turkish Imports from
Egypt 2004 (US$ millions)
Average Tariff on Turkish
Imports from Egypt 2004 (%)
Agriculture
Rice
18.5
42.0
Wheat
0.1
0.0
Fibers
13.8
0.0
Sugar, sugar cane, beets
9.6
85.1
Livestock
0.4
19.8
Vegetables, fruits and nuts
1.2
31.2
Processed food products
1.5
33.9
Beverages and tobacco
0.0
0.0
Agriculture n.e.c
1.5
24.3
Total
46.6
37.1
Energy
31.9
0.1
Textiles and Apparel
Apparel
1.7
10.7
Textile fabrics and yarns
24.6
6.8
Total
26.3
7.0
Motor Vehicles and Equipment
Motor vehicles
5.2
6.3
Transportation equipment
0.0
0.0
Machinery and equipment
9.3
1.4
Total
14.5
3.2
Mining and Metals
Raw minerals
11.8
0.1
Mineral products (cement, aggregates)
14.6
3.3
Iron and steel (ingot, sheet, plate, coil)
9.0
6.4
Iron and steel products
1.3
2.5
Non-ferrous metal products
6.9
2.7
Total
43.6
2.9
Chemicals, Wood and Other Manufactures
Chemicals
65.7
2.4
Raw wood and paper
0.5
1.1
Wood products
0.1
2.6
manufactures n.e.c.
3.5
5.4
Total
69.8
2.6
Services
Construction
0.3
--
Trade and financial
3.7
--
Transportation and communication
8.8
--
Other
6.3
--
Total
19.1
--
Total
251.7
9.8
T R A D E A N D I N V E S T M E N T DATA A - 3
Table A-3. Tariff Rates on Egypt, HS Codes 1 to 24
Tariff Description
Treatment for Egypt
Chap.
Description
Categories (%)
Heading/Sub
heading
Preferential Treatment
01
Live animals
0,20,30,49, 76.5,135
None
None
02
Meat and edible meat offal
39,45, 65, 23.4, 180,
42.5, 114.3, 27
None
None
03
Fish and crustaceans, molluscs
and other aquatic invertebrates
n.a
all chapter
(excluding 0301)
50%t tariff reduction with unlimited quota
04
Dairy produce , birds' eggs ,
natural honey ,edible product
of animal origin not elsewhere
specified or included
150, 170, 140, 67,45,
0,20,13,76.5,53.1,38.5,23
.1
None
None
05
Products of animal origin, not
elsewhere specified or included
0,3.9,10, 1.6, 20
None
None
06
Live trees and other plants ;
bulbs, roots and the like;
cut flowers and ornamental
foliage
6.3, 3.9,19.5, 46.8
0602
100% tariff reduction with unlimited quota
0603
100% tariff reduction within 15 Tons as
tariff rate quota
07
Edible vegetables and certain
roots and tubers
19.3, 48.6, 49.5, 19.5,
36.9, 29.7, 36,5,11.7,0
070190
100% tariff reduction within 400 tons as
tariff rate quota
070320
100% tariff reduction within 100 tons as
tariff rate quota
0705
100% tariff reduction within 600 tons as
tariff rate quota
0706
0709
0710
0711
0712
08
Edible fruit and nuts; peel of
citrus fruit or melons
30, 43.2, 145.8,
25,45.9,58.5,45,54,
86.4,60.3,55, 50,93,37,
15.4, 41, 37.8, 15.6
0804.10
100% tariff reduction within 5,000 tons as
tariff rate quota
0804.50
100% tariff reduction within 1,000 tons as
tariff rate quota
0810.10
100% tariff reduction within 200 tons as
tariff rate quota
09
Coffee, tea, mate and spices
13, 145 , 0, 30, 19.5 ,
75,15.6
0909
100% tariff reduction within 100 tons as
tariff rate quota
0910
10
Cereals
0, 100, 130 , 60, 12, 34,
36,45, 40 , 50
100620
100% tariff reduction within 30,000 tons as
tariff rate quota
100630
50% tariff reduction within 10,000 tons as
tariff rate quota
11
Products of the milling
industry malt; starches; inulin;
wheat gluten
82, 40.5,54, 45,23.1, 30,
10 , 27, 29, 4
None
None
12
Oil seeds and oleaginous fruits;
miscellaneous grains seeds and
fruit; industrial or medicinal
plants ; straw and fodder
20, 32.4, 4, 0, 10,27,
45,32, 3.9,19.3, 6,35,
1202
100% tariff reduction within 500 tons as
tariff rate quota
13
Lac; gums, resins and other
vegetable saps and extracts
0, 25, 13.4, 7.7
None
None
14
Vegetable plaiting materials ;
vegetable products not
elsewhere specified or included
0
None
None
15
Animal or vegetable fats and
oils and their cleavage
products; prepared edible fats;
4, 0 , 23.4, 19.5, 31.2, 20,
50 , 24,14.8,46.8
None
None
A - 4 A P P E N D I X
Tariff Description
Treatment for Egypt
Chap.
Description
Categories (%)
Heading/Sub
heading
Preferential Treatment
animal or vegetable waxes
16
Preparations of meat, of fish or
of crustaceans, molluscs or
other aquatic invertebrates
96.3,121.5,
None
None
17
Sugars and sugar confectionery
0,18.9,135, 20,
1704
15% tariff reduction within 2,000 tons as
tariff rate quota
18
Cocoa and cocoa preparations
0,20,6.1,4.2,2.8
1806
15% tariff reduction within1,000 tons as
tariff rate quota
19
Preparations of cereals, flour,
starch or milk pastrycooks’
products
0,37
1902
15% tariff reduction within1,000 tons as
tariff rate quota
1905
20
Preparations of vegetables,
fruit, nuts or other parts of
plants
135.9, 39, 3.5, 19.5,58.5,
0,
200110
15% tariff reduction within1,000 tons as
tariff rate quota
2008
15% tariff reduction within 500 tons as
tariff rate quota
21
Miscellaneous edible
preparations
0,3.1,8,9.8, 7.4,10.2, 4.8,
2.1, 6.7, 5.5,12.8, 12.1,
58.5,
210210
15% tariff reduction within 3,000 tons as
tariff rate quota
22
Beverages, spirits and vinegar
0,6.1,70, 21.3,3, 39
None
None
23
Residues and waste from the
food industries; prepared
animal fodder
13.5, 4, 8.5, 7.8,0
None
None
24
Tobacco and manufactured
tobacco substitutes
35,9.1,6.5,40.3,52.4,6.1,2
9.1,11.6
None
None
Note: HS Code for Chapter 22 encompasses some specific duties.
T R A D E A N D I N V E S T M E N T DATA A - 5
Table A-4. Turkish Pre-FTA Investment in Egypt, 1986-2004
Company Name
Sector
Place of
Investments
Total
Investments
Year Estbl.
1
SANAYİ AMBALAJ
na
na
350,877
1986
2
159A GÖRE KURULMUŞ
ELWATANİA AMBALAJ
MALZEMELERİ
na
na
701.754
1995
3
IMALAT INTERNATIONAL
GRUP
na
na
1,052,632
1995
4
EGYPTIAN TURKISH
COMPANY FOR EXPORT
Mining
na
100,000
1998
5
SERA MISIR ÇELİK
SANAYİ
Iron and steel
na
350,877
1998
6
CAMIS EGYPT MINING CO.
Mining
na
1,300,000
1999
7
EVYAP EGYPT
Soap
na
9,500,000
1999
8
ELNİL JANT VE ELYAF
na
na
131,579
1999
9
KARİNA ÇORAP, BURHAN
KARMEN
Ready made
garments
Alexandria
87,719
1999
10
Kizildeniz yuzer gemi
tourism
Algona
175,439
2000
11
MISIR TÜRK PİCMENT
RENK VE ARA MADDE
İMALATI
chemicals
El obour city
100,877
2001
12
ELMENAR MISIR TÜRK
MADENİ SANAYİ
Metal industry
Sharkiea
87,719
2001
13
LODOS MARINE
DENİZCİLİK HİZMETLERİ
Transportation
Hurghada
26,316
2001
14
HAZ MERMER EGYPT
LİMİTED
Construction
Cairo
8,772
2001
15
Turk- yunan serbest bolge
firmasi
Textiles
Ismailia
52,632
2001
16
ATLAS MADENİ SANAYİ
Metal industry
Giza
87,719
2002
17
KORDSA GLOBAL
21,000,000
2002
18
EGYPTIAN TURKISH
COMPANY FOR
CONSULTATION
CONSULTATIO
N
na
20,000
2002
19
DAMİA STILE MOBİLYA,
TAREK ZAKY
ELMENZİLAWY VE
ORTAKLARI
Furniture
Dimyat
52,632
2003
20
BETEK EGYPT (100%
Turkish )
Painting
6th October
2,419,298
2003
21
TÜRK MISIR ELEKTRİK
İMALATI
Electrical
Ismailia
877,193
2003
22
LAVENT EGYTP İHRACAT-
Helin
Services
Alexandria
43,860
2003
23
Terk Tourizm
Tourism
Hurgada
8,772
2003
24
AKSA EGYPT ACRYLIC
INDUSTRY S.A.E
Acrylic fiber
Borg el arab
5,000,000
2003
25
MEDITERRANEAN TRADE
FOR PAINTS
Paints
na
2,500,000
2003
26
BIKAS EGYPT TURİSTİK
TESİS İŞLETME
na
na
350,877
2003
27
MISIR BANKASI DAGITIM
PAZARLAMA
na
na
526,316
2003
28
FEDERAL ELECTRIC
electrical
na
1,000,000
2004
A - 6 A P P E N D I X
Company Name
Sector
Place of
Investments
Total
Investments
Year Estbl.
EGYPT
29
CAMIS EGYPT MINING CO.
Mining
na
300,000
2004
30
EGYPTIAN TURKISH
COMPANY FOR SALT
FACTORY
mining
na
1,500,000
2004
31
BERICAP
na
na
3,684,211
2004
32
BORG ELARAP PİRİNÇ-
AKEL
na
na
1,754,386
2004
33
A B C TURİSTİK YATIRIM
Tourism
Cairo
526,316
2004
34
PAPILION
na
na
1,964,912
2004
35
ELSEWİDİ AYDINLATMA
VE ELEKTRİK SANAYİ
na
na
175,439
2004
36
TEKNOLOJİ MISIR
na
na
175,439
2004
37
İMAS DANIŞMANLIK VE
BİLGİ İŞLEM
na
na
105,263
2004
38
ELBAYRAK PROTEZ
İMALATI FABRİKASI
na
na
61,404
2004
39
WAHADAT NİL TEKSTİL
YEDEK PARÇA İMALATI
Textiles
na
87,719
2004
Note: na means data not available.
T R A D E A N D I N V E S T M E N T DATA A - 7
Table A-5. Turkish Investment in Egypt, 2005
No .
Company Name
Field of
Investment
Place of
Investment
Total
Investments
Year of
Establishment
1
Gultex Egypt
Ready made
garments
10 th of Ramadan
2,052,632
2005
2
SAHINLER EGYPT
S.A.E
na
na
6,000,000
2005
3
EGYTURK
LIMOSUNE
na
na
20.000
2005
4
Nil bosfor parakende ve
ticaret
Services
Cairo
3,157,895
2005
5
LİDER GIDA
na
na
877,193
2005
6
AKAR MISR GAYRİ
MENKUL
PAZARLAMA
Constructions
Giza
2,052,362
2005
7
SUVİST CO.
INTERNATIONAL
na
na
175,439
2005
8
ALMAN AKÜ
İMALATI
na
na
526,316
2005
9
PRISTOL INT.
YATIRIM VE
TURİSTİK
KALKINMA
Tourism
Nasr city
175.439
2005
10
DENK VE ABOU
ELOLA TEKSTIL
Ready made
garments
El obour city
87,719
2005
11
CAMBO TEK
Engineering
10 th of Ramadan
87.719
2005
12
JOKEY MSIRI
PLASTİK AMBALAJ
Packages
Badr city
70,175
2005
13
BEŞYILDIZ OTO
YEDEK PARÇASI
MUHYİTTİN ŞEM
OĞLU KADRİ
Cars spare parts
10 th of Ramadan
52,632
2005
14
ELBELAM ELSAAB
TAŞIMACILIK VE
KONTEREYNIR
YÜKLEME
na
na
87,719
2005
15
KENTUR EGYPT
TİCARET
Retail
Nasr city
43,860
2005
16
ASBİLEK AGAWANY
EGYPT LTD
na
na
17,544
2005
17
PRENSES OTELCİLİK
EGYPT
na
na
350,877
2005
18
Unitech machinery
Engineering
Sharkeyya
1,754,386
2005
19
FASHION POINT
KONFEKSİYON
ATİLA ÖZKUŞ VE
ORTAKLARI
na
na
307,895
2005
20
Star light
Textiles
10 th of Ramadan
175,439
2005
Note: na means data not available.
A - 8 A P P E N D I X
Table A-6. Turkish Investment in Egypt, 2006 to April 2007
Company Name
Field of
Investment
Place of
Investment
Total
Investments
Year of Estbl.
1
Taha holding ( ELVAN
KNITTING&DYING FINISHIN
S.A.E.)
Ready made
garments
Bourg el arab
10,000,000
2006
2
Taha holding (RUBYRED
GARMENT
MANUFACTURING S.A.E.)
Garments
na
5,000,000
2006
3
EKO tekstil (50% Turkish )
Textiles
Alexandria
2,500,000
2006
4
CAMIS EGYPT MINING CO.
Mining
na
150,000
2006
5
ERBA CAIRO
Textiles
cairo
10,000
2006
6
HİLTEKS TEKSTİL SAN. VE
TİC. LTD. ŞTİ.
Ready made
garments and
accessories
Nasr city
3,000,000
2006
7
Ekoteks Textile Laboratory Egypt
Ready made
garments
na
255,582
2006
8
GLOB YARN ENDUSTY.-
DİKTAŞ
Textiles
na
6,052,632
Na
9
ELECTRONICS SUNNY
EGYPT
Electronics
na
7,017,544
2006
10
MERYEM GARMENTS
Ready made
garments
na
1,008,772
2006
11
EKO TEKSTİL
na
na
453,947
2006
12
MİRTEKS SERBEST BÖLGE
na
na
403,509
2006
13
SERBEST BÖLGE MİRTEKS
na
na
403,509
2006
14
TEKSTİL CITY AHMED FAKİ
VE ORTAKLARI
Textiles
na
302,632
2006
15
I MITR GRUP EGYPT ÖLÇÜ
ALETLERİ İMALATI
na
na
1,754,386
2006
16
İSTANBUL TEKSTİL
KONFEKSİYON
Textiles
El obour
350,877
2006
17
Casa gomlek
Ready made
garments
Alexandria
175,439
2006
18
Nile foods
Processed foods
na
175,439
2006
19
Izmir KOT İMALATI
Textiles
El obour city
2,105,263
2006
20
TURIG PVC
SİSTEMLERİ,SİDE VE
PENCERE KAPI İMALATI
na
na
276,316
20006
21
ELEKS TEKS DOKUMA
Textiles
na
263,158
2006
22
SESA EGYPT SANAYİ
YATIRIMI
na
na
87,719
2006
23
SUN BRIGTH
na
na
119,298
2006
24
EGYMENEGYPT AYDIN
ERBAY VE SADETTİN
AYDEMİR VE ORTAKLAR
na
na
52,632
2006
25
Volkan metal
Cooper metal
processing
Cairo
52,632
2006
26
KALSAN ENVER
KURTULMUŞ VE ORTAĞI
na
na
52,632
2006
27
ENDÜLÜS KİMYA SANAYİ
Chemicals
263,158
2006
28
SURAT INTERNATIONAL
EĞİTİM HİZMETLERİ
na
na
43,860
2006
T R A D E A N D I N V E S T M E N T DATA A - 9
Company Name
Field of
Investment
Place of
Investment
Total
Investments
Year of Estbl.
29
NİYON MISIR DAĞITIM VE
PAZARLAMA
na
na
43,860
2006
30
T G KONFEKSİYON -
GÖKÇEN TEKSTİL
Textiles
na
43,860
2006
31
HELEN NİL TEKSTİL METİN
ABDULLAH VE ORTAKLARI
na
na
52,632
2006
32
ORMİT İNŞAAT
Construction
na
52,632
2006
33
MEGA TEKSTİL
Textiles
na
3,026,316
2006
34
ÇINAR PLASTİK EGYPT
Plastics
na
52,632
2006
35
ASLAN INTERNATIONAL
na
na
8,772
2006
36
VAA TICARET VE DAGITIM
na
na
8,772
2006
37
ALMAN MADEN
YÜZEYLERİNİ İŞLEME
KİMYASALLARI SUGEST
na
na
109,649
2006
38
WİKTORİA
ENTERTAINMENT TURİSTİK
TESİSİLER
na
na
8,772
2006
39
ALANTUR
na
na
8,772
2006
40
CAIRO STAR GAYRİ
MENKÜL YATIRIMI,
LOKANTALAR VE TİCARİ
FAALİYETLER
na
na
8,772
2006
41
EGYPT T-SHIRT FACTORY
Ready made
garments
10 th of Ramadan
2,500,000
2006
42
ABALIOĞLU TEKSTİL SAN.
A.Ş.
Ready made
garments
17,000,000
2006
43
RANO TSR INTERNATIONAL
na
na
8,772
18/01/2007
44
Tufan metal aksesuar
Textile metal
label
Mahalla el kobra
121,053
31/01/2007
45
TÜRK AKÜ VE PLASTİK SAN.
PLASTICS
na
501,754
01/02/2007
46
ARKAS EGYPT
na
na
87,719
04/02/2007
47
EGYPT OSKAR DIKIŞ İPLİĞİ
VE KUMAS İMALATI
na
na
350,877
15/02/2007
48
GELIFAR EGYPT ORTADOĞU
YEM NECMETTİN ŞABAN
VE ORTAKLARI
na
na
52,632
13/03/2007
49
ORKAY EGYPT MEHMET
MURAT URGALIOĞLU VE
ORTAĞI
na
na
52,632
15/03/2007
50
FETEKS MISIR KİMYA FETHİ
OKTAY BRHANETTİN VE
ORTAĞI
na
na
52,632
19/03/2007
51
AKAY KONFEKSİYON
na
na
504,386
21/03/2007
52
NILSU KUMAS VE KOT
İMALATI
na
na
175,439
25/03/2007
53
CALTON EGYPT MADENİ
HAM MADDE
na
na
300,000
25/03/2007
54
ERSİLUR PACKİNG EGYPT
na
na
175,439
03/04/2007
55
ITI MISIR TURİZM YATIRIMI
na
na
175,439
05/04/2007
56
DERYA LABEL
KONFEKSİYON AKSESUARI
na
na
526,316
18/04/2007
57
MEDITERRENEAN TURİZM
FİRMASI
Tourism
na
8,772
24/04/2007
A - 10 A P P E N D I X
Company Name
Field of
Investment
Place of
Investment
Total
Investments
Year of Estbl.
58
TÜRK MISIR TEKSTİL
SANAYİ (TİNCO)
na
na
504,386

59
ŞAHİN MOTOR YATAKLARI
SAN VE TİC. A.Ş.
Automotives
na
4,000,000
2007-2008
Note: na means data not available.
T R A D E A N D I N V E S T M E N T DATA A - 11
Table A-7. Turkish Stores, Retailers, Showrooms, Buying Offices, and
Contractors
Store Name
Field of Investment
Place of Investment
1
ISTIKBAL
Furniture
Cairo , Alexandria
2
BEYMEN
Ready made garments
Cairo
3
SARAR
Ready made garments
Cairo , Alexandria
4
MAVI JEENS
Ready made garments
Cairo, port saied
5
DOGUS OTOMOTIV ( WOLKSWAGEN)
Automotive
Na
6
DAMAT & TWEEN
na
Alexandria
7
MOTOR JEANS
Ready made garments
Na
8
MADOC JEANS
Ready made garments
Na
9
ALFA ELEKTRIK MALZMELERI
na
Na
10
LITTLE BIG
na
Na
11
BALNAK LOJISTIK
na
Na
12
ECZACIBAŞI-ESAN
na
Na
13
TEB-BANK PARIBAS COUNTRY DESK
na
Na
14
TUREKS ALIM OFISI
na
Na
15
ERBA ALIM OFISI
na
Na
16
GAP INC- SOURCING FIMASININ
TURKIYE BOLUMU
na
Na
17
EDSA-SALVO BAHAR ALIM OFISI
na
Na
18
GAAT INTERNATIONAL- ALIM OFISI
na
Na
19
EKSOY KIMYA IRTIBAT OFISI
na
Na
20
ÇILEK MOBILYA
Furniture
Na
21
ARKAS LOJISTIK
na
Na
22
AKSU TEKSTIL
Textiles
Na
23
COLINS JEANS
Ready made garments
Na
24
ZEKI TRIKO
na
Na
25
VAKKO
na
Na
26
STFA
Contractor
Cairo
27
TAV (2004-2008) with investments amounted
to $247 million dollar
Contractor
Cairo airport
28
ALADDIN MIDDLE EAST LTD.
Contractor
Na