Research Question • 13
masks, the proportion of positive specimens of other respiratory viruses dropped significantly in 2003. A
similar finding has been noted in Hong Kong since February 2020, where again mask use has
increased with the COVID19 outbreak (Leung et al, 2020). Kenyon et al. (pre-print) compared
countries who had implemented mask use vs no-mask use (as a binary outcome). At the time of the
analysis, 8/49 countries promoted universal mask use. After adjusting for date of the first COVID-19
diagnosis in the country and testing intensity, they found that masking resulted in an average decrease
of 326 cases per 1,000,000 inhabitants (linear coefficient -326, -601 to -51, p=0.021). These studies do
not allow the effect of masks to be separated from other community measures, including social
distancing with school closure, public space closures, hand hygiene, and household hygiene
campaigns. When undertaking ecological comparisons, it should be noted that countries such as New
Zealand, Australia, Denmark, and Switzerland have had success at containment of their epidemics
without the use of universal masking.
There are also two case cluster reports outlining the benefits of community mask use. It is unclear if
medical or non-medical masks were used. Zhang et al, 2013 assessed transmission of influenza A
virus on two flights from the United States to China. None of the 9 influenza-infected passengers,
compared with 47% (15/32) of control-passengers wore a face mask. Unfortunately, this report does
not include any information regarding the location of the other passenger relative to the index case. Liu
et al, 2020 report a case of a SARS-CoV-2 infected male who took two separate buses to return to his
hometown. On the first 2-hour bus ride, he did not wear a mask and 5/39 passengers were infected. By
contrast, on his second ride, a 50-minute ride, he wore a mask and 0/14 passengers were infected.
While Schwartz et al. 2020 do not focus on the use of a mask by the source case, the source case
was masked during a flight from China to Toronto where no SARS-CoV-2 transmissions were identified.
Studies of cloth masks:
Clinical studies
The only clinical study of cloth masks is a cluster randomized trial of cloth masks at all times vs medical
masks at all times (2 masks/8h) vs a standard practice arm in hospitals in Vietnam (Macintyre et al,
2015). In this study, cloth mask users had higher rates of ILI compared with the control arm, RR=6.64,
95% CI 1.45 to 28.65 and more laboratory-confirmed virus, RR=1.72, 95% CI 1.01 to 2.94. Compared
to medical masks, the RR for ILI was 13.25 in the cloth mask arm and 3.8 in the control (mixed) arm. A
possible hypothesis for the worse outcome with cloth masks is that when they become wet, they are
more likely to trap viral particles. Alternatively, there may be inadequate washing of the masks.
However, a methodologic concern was that the control arm consisted of high rates of mask wear.
Specifically, in the control arm, (170/458) 37% used medical masks and (245/458) 53% used a
combination of medical masks and cloth masks, with 24% of control arm participants wearing masks for
more than 70% of working hours (versus 57% of participants in the other 2 arms adherent to masks for
>70% of working hours). This renders the comparison to have been consistent cloth mask use, to
consistent medical mask use, to inconsistent use of any mask type. Therefore, while the study may
have conclusively shown the superiority of medical masks to cloth masks in preventing infection
acquisition in a health-care setting, it cannot be used to reliably evaluate cloth masks to no masks in a
community setting. Given the sudden interest in cloth-mask use, the authors published a response to
their own article on March 30, 2020 (MacIntyre et al. 2020) wherein they state that HCW should not
work without adequate PPE but if they choose to work with a cloth masks, thorough and daily
disinfection is required to prevent potential harms. In another commentary, the same author (MacIntyre
CR and Hasanain SJ, 2020) supports universal masking, stating “There is more evidence supporting