11 CONSUMER FINANCIAL PROTECTION BUREAU
on the core business of providing flights.
53
In 2023, some merchants reported increases in
loyalty-related revenue, also sharing expectations that this trend seemed poised to continue.
54
CHANGES TO REWARDS PROGRAMS
Given that rewards programs exist in large part to increase revenue, many credit card issuers
have tried to preserve the ability to alter rewards programs or devalue rewards as a safety valve,
putting consumers at a fundamental disadvantage. At the time of this report writing, many of
the largest credit card issuers reserved the right to change their rewards program at any time,
for any reason, and in many cases without notice in terms and conditions typically separate from
the cardholder agreements, in which changes to some terms are restricted and/or require prior
communication.
55
As a result, cardholders are responsible for repaying the costs of credit cards
under threat of legal action, yet issuers engage in unilateral modifications that deny consumers
the full value of promised benefits at will. In fact, forecasted earnings are often predicated on the
assumption consumers will not redeem the full value of their rewards over the life of the
account: some (but not all) companies discount the liability of outstanding rewards in their
financial statements by the redemption rate, or the share of rewards balances they expect to
ultimately be used.
56
If this rate declines when companies expand revocation policies or devalue
previously-earned points, miles, or cash back, companies benefit from the associated savings.
53
Rajesh Kumar Singh, U.S. airline loyalty programs can provide buffer from possible recession, Reuters (Apr. 4,
2023),
https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/us-airline-loyalty-programs-can-provide-buffer-
possible-recession-2023-04-04/.
54
E.g., Delta, Q2 2023 Earnings Call (Jul. 13, 2023); IHG, Q4 2024 Earnings Call (Feb. 20, 2024); American
Airlines, 2024 Investor Day (Mar. 5, 2024).
55
See e.g., (among others), American Express, Membership Rewards Program Terms and Conditions,
https://rewards.americanexpress.com/myca/loyalty/us/catalog/tandc
(last accessed, Mar. 25, 2024); Citi, Citi
ThankYou Rewards Terms & Conditions, https://www.thankyou.com/cms/thankyou/tc.page?pageName=tc (last
accessed, Mar. 25, 2024); Chase, Chase Sapphire Preferred® with Ultimate Rewards® Program Agreement,
https://www.chase.com/sapphire/rewardsagreement (last accessed, Mar. 25, 2024); Wells Fargo, Wells Fargo
Rewards® Program Terms and Conditions and Addendum, https://consumercard.wellsfargorewards.com/#/tnc
(last accessed, Mar. 25, 2024).
Changes in some terms in credit card agreements, like increases in interest rates, are restricted by the Credit Card
Responsibility and Disclosure Act of 2009 (CARD Act), 15 U.S.C. 1637(i). See also, 1026.9(c)(2).
56
J.P. Morgan Chase, 2023 10-K: “The rewards liability is sensitive to redemption rate (“RR”) and cost per point
(“CPP”) assumptions. The RR assumption is used to estimate the number of points earned by customers that will be
redeemed over the life of the account.” American Express, 2023 10-K: “The Membership Rewards Ultimate
Redemption Rate (URR) for current program participants was 96 percent (rounded down) at both December 31, 2023
and 2022.” Southwest Airlines, 2022 Annual Report to Shareholders, “Under its current program, Southwest
estimates the portion of loyalty points that will not be redeemed. In estimating the breakage, the Company takes into
account the Member’s past behavior, as well as several factors related to the Member’s account that are expected to be
indicative of the likelihood of future point redemption. … For the year ended December 31, 2022, based on actual
redemptions of points sold to business partners and earned through flights, a hypothetical one percentage point
change in the estimated breakage rate would have resulted in a change to Passenger revenue of approximately $152
million (an increase in breakage would have resulted in an increase in revenue and a decrease in breakage would have
resulted in a decrease in revenue).”